League Tables
1. Division (Denmark)
Hvidovre lead on 32 points, 5 ahead of Vejle. The model's chances of finishing first in the regular season: Hvidovre 72.6%, Vejle 19.1% and FC Fredericia 7.2%, from 10,000 simulations of the 48 matches left. The table as it stands, and where the model expects it to finish. Across all 30 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 50% of results. Projections are final positions, not qualification or relegation. How the model works. Upcoming predictions →
- Hvidovre — 32 points from 14 played (9 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost), 27 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +14. Form, oldest first: W W D D W.
- Vejle — 27 points from 14 played (7 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost), 26 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: L W D D W.
- FC Fredericia — 23 points from 14 played (6 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost), 21 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W W L W L.
- AB Copenhagen — 21 points from 14 played (6 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 21 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W W W L W.
- Aarhus Fremad — 18 points from 14 played (4 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost), 12 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L D D W L.
- Aalborg — 16 points from 14 played (3 won, 7 drawn, 4 lost), 17 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D L L D D.
- Hobro — 16 points from 14 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost), 16 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: D L D D L.
- Hillerød — 15 points from 14 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 18 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L L W L W.
- Kolding IF — 15 points from 14 played (3 won, 6 drawn, 5 lost), 17 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D W L W L.
- Esbjerg — 14 points from 14 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost), 17 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: D D W D W.
- HB Koge — 12 points from 14 played (2 won, 6 drawn, 6 lost), 20 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W L D L D.
- Vendsyssel FF — 12 points from 14 played (2 won, 6 drawn, 6 lost), 14 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L L D D L.
What moved
Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed —
not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried
forward rather than restamped.
- Hvidovre — chance of finishing top up 0.2, to 72.6%.
- Kolding IF — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 26.1%.
- Vejle — chance of finishing top down 0.1, to 19.1%.
Season projection
Every one of the 48 matches this phase has left,
played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each
side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a
title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those
depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Promotion Group, Relegation Group follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.
- Hvidovre — projected to finish on 45.4 points, from 32 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 72.6% (up 0.2), finishes top six 100.1%, bottom three 0%.
- Vejle — projected to finish on 40.6 points, from 27 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 19.1% (down 0.1), finishes top six 100%, bottom three 0%.
- FC Fredericia — projected to finish on 37.8 points, from 23 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 7.2%, finishes top six 99.4%, bottom three 0%.
- AB Copenhagen — projected to finish on 34.3 points, from 21 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.2%, finishes top six 95.9%, bottom three 0.3%.
- Aarhus Fremad — projected to finish on 29.7 points, from 18 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 71.1%, bottom three 4.7%.
- Kolding IF — projected to finish on 25.2 points, from 15 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 29%, bottom three 26.1%.
- Hillerød — projected to finish on 25.1 points, from 15 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 28.3%, bottom three 27%.
- Aalborg — projected to finish on 24.9 points, from 16 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 26.4%, bottom three 30.1%.
- Esbjerg — projected to finish on 24.2 points, from 14 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 21.4%, bottom three 39.2%.
- Hobro — projected to finish on 23.7 points, from 16 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 13.6%, bottom three 46.6%.
- HB Koge — projected to finish on 21.8 points, from 12 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 8.7%, bottom three 59.5%.
- Vendsyssel FF — projected to finish on 21.3 points, from 12 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 6.5%, bottom three 66.5%.
1. Division (Denmark): how many points for the top six?
Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026
27 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 29 in nine out of ten.
30 pts98%
29 pts93%
28 pts81%
27 pts62%
26 pts38%
25 pts17%
24 pts6%
050%100%
The top six go into the Promotion play-offs zone.
1. Division (Denmark): how many points to stay up?
Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026
23 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 25 in nine out of ten.
25 pts97%
24 pts89%
23 pts72%
22 pts47%
21 pts24%
20 pts10%
050%100%
Above the bottom three in the final table.