Liga Pro

Championship Group

1. Independiente del Valle — 84 points from 35 played (27 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 81 scored, 37 conceded, goal difference +44. Form, oldest first: W L D W W.
2. Macara — 67 points from 36 played (20 won, 7 drawn, 9 lost), 52 scored, 37 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
3. Universidad Catolica Quito — 54 points from 36 played (14 won, 12 drawn, 10 lost), 56 scored, 35 conceded, goal difference +21. Form, oldest first: L D D L D.
4. LDU de Quito — 54 points from 36 played (15 won, 9 drawn, 12 lost), 38 scored, 32 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W D L L D.
5. Aucas — 54 points from 36 played (15 won, 9 drawn, 12 lost), 40 scored, 42 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L D L W L.
6. Barcelona SC — 49 points from 35 played (12 won, 13 drawn, 10 lost), 39 scored, 32 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: L D W L D.

Relegation Group

1. Deportivo Cuenca — 47 points from 36 played (13 won, 8 drawn, 15 lost), 33 scored, 42 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: D W W L W.
2. Mushuc Runa SC — 43 points from 36 played (10 won, 13 drawn, 13 lost), 43 scored, 50 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L D L L W.
3. Orense SC — 39 points from 36 played (10 won, 9 drawn, 17 lost), 43 scored, 53 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: D D W D L.
4. Delfin SC — 38 points from 36 played (10 won, 8 drawn, 18 lost), 31 scored, 43 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: W W L W L.
5. Tecnico Universitario — 37 points from 36 played (11 won, 4 drawn, 21 lost), 35 scored, 49 conceded, goal difference -14. Form, oldest first: L L W D L.
6. Manta FC — 33 points from 36 played (9 won, 6 drawn, 21 lost), 27 scored, 52 conceded, goal difference -25. Form, oldest first: W L L W W.

What moved

Nothing we can honestly measure. The last reading was taken over a different set of matches than the Relegation Group these figures cover, so subtracting one from the other would describe a change in what was counted rather than a change in the football. Movement resumes from the next update.

Season projection

Every one of the 13 matches this competition has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice.

Championship Group

1. Independiente del Valle — projected to finish on 92.1 points, from 84 after 35 played. Wins it 100%.
2. Macara — projected to finish on 73.1 points, from 67 after 36 played. Wins it 0%.
3. Universidad Catolica Quito — projected to finish on 60.3 points, from 54 after 36 played. Wins it 0%.
4. LDU de Quito — projected to finish on 59 points, from 54 after 36 played. Wins it 0%.
5. Aucas — projected to finish on 57.6 points, from 54 after 36 played. Wins it 0%.
6. Barcelona SC — projected to finish on 55.9 points, from 49 after 35 played. Wins it 0%.

Relegation Group

1. Deportivo Cuenca — projected to finish on 53.1 points, from 47 after 36 played. Wins it 80.3%.
2. Mushuc Runa SC — projected to finish on 48.7 points, from 43 after 36 played. Wins it 17.5%.
3. Orense SC — projected to finish on 45.2 points, from 39 after 36 played. Wins it 1.5%.
4. Delfin SC — projected to finish on 43.4 points, from 38 after 36 played. Wins it 0.5%.
5. Tecnico Universitario — projected to finish on 41.9 points, from 37 after 36 played. Wins it 0.2%.
6. Manta FC — projected to finish on 38 points, from 33 after 36 played. Wins it 0%.

Top scorers

1. F. Posse (Macara) — 17 goals, 5 assists.
2. E. Mero (Guayaquil City FC) — 13 goals, 5 assists.
3. Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (Libertad) — 13 goals, 2 assists.
4. R. Carrillo (Emelec) — 13 goals, 3 assists.
5. J. Fajardo (Universidad Catolica Quito) — 13 goals, 3 assists.
6. A. Campana (Macara) — 12 goals, 3 assists.
7. A. Herrera (Orense SC) — 12 goals, 3 assists.
8. C. González (Independiente del Valle) — 11 goals, 1 assist.
9. Juan Luis Anangonó León (Leones del Norte) — 11 goals, 1 assist.
10. F. Ayunta (Delfin SC) — 11 goals, 1 assist.
11. D. Reasco (Independiente del Valle) — 9 goals, 4 assists.
12. D. Benedetto (Barcelona SC) — 9 goals, 2 assists.
13. D. Dorregaray (Guayaquil City FC) — 9 goals, 2 assists.
14. M. Alonso (Universidad Catolica Quito) — 8 goals, 4 assists.
15. M. Perelló (Independiente del Valle) — 8 goals, 4 assists.
16. M. Estrada (LDU de Quito) — 7 goals, 2 assists.
17. José Enrique Angulo Caicedo (Manta FC) — 7 goals.
18. J. Sornoza (Independiente del Valle) — 6 goals, 5 assists.
19. G. Cortéz (Libertad) — 6 goals, 5 assists.
20. L. Klimowicz (Emelec) — 6 goals, 2 assists.