Serie B (Italy)

1. Palermo — 27 points from 11 played (8 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost), 25 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +12. Form, oldest first: W W D W D.
2. Modena — 23 points from 11 played (7 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 20 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: L W W D W.
3. Ascoli — 20 points from 11 played (5 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost), 17 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: D W W D D.
4. Mantova — 19 points from 11 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 15 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: L W L D D.
5. Avellino — 16 points from 11 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 16 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: D L D W D.
6. Benevento — 16 points from 11 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 15 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: D W D L D.
7. Hellas Verona — 16 points from 11 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 19 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: D D W W D.
8. Pisa — 16 points from 11 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 20 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W D D L D.
9. Cremonese — 15 points from 11 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 14 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L L W W W.
10. Padova — 15 points from 11 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 12 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L W W D D.
11. Cesena — 15 points from 11 played (3 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost), 12 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D L W D W.
12. Sudtirol — 15 points from 11 played (3 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost), 13 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: L D L D D.
13. Juve Stabia — 12 points from 11 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 12 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W W L D W.
14. Arezzo — 11 points from 11 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 9 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: W L L D L.
15. Sampdoria — 11 points from 11 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 11 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L D L W W.
16. Virtus Entella — 10 points from 11 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost), 11 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W L D L L.
17. Carrarese — 10 points from 11 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 7 lost), 9 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: W L W L L.
18. Vicenza Virtus — 9 points from 11 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 14 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: D W L L L.
19. Empoli — 9 points from 11 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 12 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: D L L D D.
20. Catanzaro — 6 points from 11 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 11 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: D L D D L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 12 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Sampdoria — bottom-three risk down 1, to 30.9%.
• Empoli — bottom-three risk up 0.2, to 34.8%.
• Palermo — chance of finishing top up 0.2, to 54.8%.
• Virtus Entella — bottom-three risk up 0.2, to 36.1%.
• Arezzo — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 50.8%.

Season projection

Every one of the 270 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Quarter-finals, Relegation Play-offs - Final, Semi-finals, and on from there follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Palermo — projected to finish on 76.9 points, from 27 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 54.8% (up 0.2), finishes top two 75.7%, bottom three 0%.
2. Ascoli — projected to finish on 69.7 points, from 20 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 20.3%, finishes top two 47.5%, bottom three 0%.
3. Modena — projected to finish on 67.8 points, from 23 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 13.5%, finishes top two 35.6%, bottom three 0%.
4. Hellas Verona — projected to finish on 61.2 points, from 16 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 4.6% (down 0.1), finishes top two 13.3%, bottom three 0.3%.
5. Pisa — projected to finish on 57 points, from 16 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.6%, finishes top two 6.6%, bottom three 2.6%.
6. Mantova — projected to finish on 56.7 points, from 19 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.2%, finishes top two 5.5%, bottom three 1.1%.
7. Benevento — projected to finish on 56.1 points, from 16 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.4%, finishes top two 4.3%, bottom three 1.9%.
8. Cremonese — projected to finish on 55.7 points, from 15 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.1% (down 0.1), finishes top two 4.7%, bottom three 1.3%.
9. Avellino — projected to finish on 54.4 points, from 16 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.2%, finishes top two 3.8%, bottom three 2.8%.
10. Juve Stabia — projected to finish on 50.6 points, from 12 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top two 1%, bottom three 5.7%.
11. Padova — projected to finish on 50.4 points, from 15 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top two 0.9%, bottom three 5.6%.
12. Sudtirol — projected to finish on 49.6 points, from 15 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top two 0.7%, bottom three 7.4%.
13. Cesena — projected to finish on 46.3 points, from 15 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top two 0.3%, bottom three 14.2%.
14. Carrarese — projected to finish on 42.6 points, from 10 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.1%, bottom three 27.1%.
15. Sampdoria — projected to finish on 42.1 points, from 11 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.1%, bottom three 30.9%.
16. Catanzaro — projected to finish on 41.3 points, from 6 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.1%, bottom three 31.7%.
17. Empoli — projected to finish on 41 points, from 9 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.1%, bottom three 34.8%.
18. Virtus Entella — projected to finish on 40.4 points, from 10 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 36.1%.
19. Vicenza Virtus — projected to finish on 38.5 points, from 9 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 45.9%.
20. Arezzo — projected to finish on 38 points, from 11 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 50.8%.

Top scorers

1. C. Shpendi (Cesena) — 8 goals, 1 assist.
2. D. Johnsen (Palermo) — 7 goals, 5 assists.
3. A. Belotti (Modena) — 7 goals.
4. D. Mosquera (Hellas Verona) — 7 goals.
5. Antonio Di Nardo (Juve Stabia) — 7 goals.
6. D. Vavassori (Palermo) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
7. F. Bonazzoli (Cremonese) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
8. R. Russo (Avellino) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
9. F. Ruocco (Mantova) — 5 goals.
10. A. Silipo (Ascoli) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
11. F. Pittarello (Pisa) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
12. A. Siatounis (Benevento) — 4 goals.
13. E. Saporiti (Empoli) — 4 goals.
14. M. Tramoni (Pisa) — 3 goals, 5 assists.
15. G. Ambrosino (Modena) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
16. G. Gori (Ascoli) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
17. G. Caso (Modena) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
18. S. Merkaj (Vicenza Virtus) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
19. T. Marras (Pisa) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
20. M. Besaggio (Avellino) — 3 goals.