Ascoli sit 7th in the Serie B on 7 points from 4 matches, having scored 4 and conceded 3. The model rates their attack at 0.71× the league average and their defence at 1.39× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 4 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, most recently losing to Padova 0-1 away. That is 1.75 points a match, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.75 per game across 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. That leaves them 3 points behind Mantova at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 9th-best attack and the 16th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 4 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they host Avellino in the Serie B on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 40%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mantova | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Palermo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 | Sudtirol | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 4 | Avellino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 | Padova | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Modena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 | Ascoli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Cesena | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 9 | Pisa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Empoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Arezzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Vicenza Virtus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Benevento | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 4 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Hellas Verona | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 4 |
| 17 | Catanzaro | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Juve Stabia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Carrarese | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
Ascoli sit 7 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-1away to Padova12 September 2026
- W1-0Benevento5 September 2026
- D1-1Carrarese29 August 2026
- W2-1away to Hellas Verona23 August 2026
Last 4 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Ascoli vs Avellino
Ascoli host Avellino at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno on 19 September 2026, 17:30 UTC. The model makes it 40% Ascoli, 29% draw and 31% Avellino, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.55 expected goals for Ascoli against 1.19. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Full preview and model analysis for Ascoli vs Avellino
Recent meetings with Avellino
- 5 May 2018Ascoli 1–1 AvellinoSerie B
- 16 December 2017Avellino 1–1 AscoliSerie B
- 25 April 2017Ascoli 2–0 AvellinoSerie B
- 3 December 2016Avellino 1–2 AscoliSerie B
The last 4 meetings between the two, most recent first.