I Liga

1. Polonia Warszawa — 25 points from 14 played (7 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 23 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W W D D W.
2. ŁKS Łódź — 25 points from 14 played (7 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 17 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: L W W D W.
3. Polonia Bytom — 24 points from 14 played (6 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost), 24 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
4. Lechia Gdansk — 22 points from 14 played (7 won, 1 drawn, 6 lost), 25 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W W L W L.
5. Ruch Chorzów — 22 points from 14 played (6 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 17 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W W W D L.
6. Nieciecza — 22 points from 14 played (6 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 22 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W L D D.
7. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — 21 points from 14 played (6 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 20 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W L L L L.
8. Miedz Legnica — 20 points from 14 played (5 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost), 20 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: L W D D D.
9. Warta Poznań — 19 points from 14 played (6 won, 1 drawn, 7 lost), 20 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L W L D L.
10. Pogoń Siedlce — 19 points from 14 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost), 17 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L L W D W.
11. Stal Mielec — 19 points from 14 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost), 19 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: W L D W W.
12. Arka Gdynia — 18 points from 14 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 19 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L L W D W.
13. Stal Rzeszów — 18 points from 14 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 18 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L W L D L.
14. Chrobry Głogów — 15 points from 14 played (3 won, 6 drawn, 5 lost), 15 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L L D D D.
15. Podbeskidzie — 15 points from 14 played (2 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost), 17 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W L W D L.
16. Puszcza Niepołomice — 14 points from 14 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 8 lost), 16 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: W L W D D.
17. Unia Skierniewice — 14 points from 14 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 8 lost), 20 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: D L L L W.
18. Odra Opole — 12 points from 14 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 8 lost), 11 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: W L L L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-12, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 12 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• ŁKS Łódź — chance of finishing top down 0.3, to 16.2%.
• Ruch Chorzów — chance of finishing top up 0.2, to 8.7%.
• Arka Gdynia — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 8.9%.
• Chrobry Głogów — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 22.9%.
• Lechia Gdansk — chance of finishing top down 0.1, to 6.7%.

Season projection

Every one of the 180 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-12, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Polonia Warszawa — projected to finish on 59.2 points, from 25 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 34.3% (up 0.1), finishes top two 53.3%, bottom three 0.2%.
2. ŁKS Łódź — projected to finish on 55.6 points, from 25 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 16.2% (down 0.3), finishes top two 30.9%, bottom three 0.5%.
3. Polonia Bytom — projected to finish on 53.4 points, from 24 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 10.8%, finishes top two 22.7%, bottom three 1.3%.
4. Ruch Chorzów — projected to finish on 52.7 points, from 22 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 8.7% (up 0.2), finishes top two 18.6%, bottom three 1.5%.
5. Lechia Gdansk — projected to finish on 51.8 points, from 22 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 6.7% (down 0.1), finishes top two 16.1%, bottom three 2.9%.
6. Nieciecza — projected to finish on 51.5 points, from 22 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 7.5%, finishes top two 17%, bottom three 3.7%.
7. Miedz Legnica — projected to finish on 50.7 points, from 20 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5.9%, finishes top two 14%, bottom three 2.6%.
8. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — projected to finish on 48.8 points, from 21 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3% (up 0.1), finishes top two 7.6%, bottom three 4.7%.
9. Warta Poznań — projected to finish on 46.8 points, from 19 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.7%, finishes top two 4.8%, bottom three 9%.
10. Arka Gdynia — projected to finish on 46.7 points, from 18 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.1%, finishes top two 5.3%, bottom three 8.9%.
11. Stal Mielec — projected to finish on 44 points, from 19 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1%, finishes top two 2.6%, bottom three 19.5%.
12. Pogoń Siedlce — projected to finish on 43.6 points, from 19 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.9%, finishes top two 2.8%, bottom three 18.9%.
13. Chrobry Głogów — projected to finish on 42.5 points, from 15 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.5%, finishes top two 1.5%, bottom three 22.9%.
14. Stal Rzeszów — projected to finish on 42.4 points, from 18 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.6% (up 0.1), finishes top two 1.6%, bottom three 26.1%.
15. Puszcza Niepołomice — projected to finish on 40.7 points, from 14 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top two 0.6%, bottom three 30.3%.
16. Podbeskidzie — projected to finish on 40.4 points, from 15 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top two 0.5%, bottom three 30.2%.
17. Unia Skierniewice — projected to finish on 38.9 points, from 14 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top two 0.4%, bottom three 41%.
18. Odra Opole — projected to finish on 32.7 points, from 12 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 76%.