Segunda Liga

1. Penafiel — 22 points from 10 played (7 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 22 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +12. Form, oldest first: W L W W W.
2. Sporting CP B — 22 points from 10 played (7 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 16 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: L W W W D.
3. Benfica B — 20 points from 10 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 14 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W W D W W.
4. Lusitânia Lourosa — 19 points from 10 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost), 15 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W D D D L.
5. União de Leiria — 17 points from 10 played (5 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 16 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: D L D W W.
6. Academica — 16 points from 10 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 16 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: L W W L D.
7. Tondela — 16 points from 10 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W W L W D.
8. Farense — 15 points from 10 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 17 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W W L D L.
9. Vizela — 15 points from 10 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 12 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D L L W D.
10. Portimonense — 14 points from 10 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 7 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L W L D W.
11. AVS — 13 points from 10 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 13 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D W W L D.
12. Leixoes — 11 points from 10 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 13 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: D L L L D.
13. Torreense — 10 points from 10 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 10 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D L W D L.
14. Amarante — 9 points from 10 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 9 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: D L L W D.
15. Felgueiras 1932 — 8 points from 10 played (1 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost), 12 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L L D L D.
16. FC Porto B — 8 points from 10 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 8 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: D W D L L.
17. Chaves — 8 points from 10 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 11 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L D W L L.
18. Feirense — 5 points from 10 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 7 lost), 3 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L L D L W.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 18 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Feirense — bottom-three risk down 4.1, to 68.8%.
• Penafiel — chance of finishing top down 3, to 35.3%; bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 0.1%.
• União de Leiria — chance of finishing top up 0.5, to 4.8%; bottom-three risk up 2.1, to 3.6%.
• Sporting CP B — chance of finishing top up 1.7, to 19.7%.
• Benfica B — chance of finishing top up 1.4, to 24.4%; bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 0%.

Season projection

Every one of the 216 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Penafiel — projected to finish on 63.4 points, from 22 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 35.3% (down 3), finishes top three 69.4%, bottom three 0.1%.
2. Benfica B — projected to finish on 61.6 points, from 20 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 24.4% (up 1.4), finishes top three 61%, bottom three 0%.
3. Sporting CP B — projected to finish on 60.4 points, from 22 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 19.7% (up 1.7), finishes top three 54%, bottom three 0.1%.
4. Academica — projected to finish on 52.8 points, from 16 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3.7% (down 1), finishes top three 20%, bottom three 1.5%.
5. Lusitânia Lourosa — projected to finish on 52.5 points, from 19 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 4.5% (down 0.3), finishes top three 21.3%, bottom three 2.2%.
6. União de Leiria — projected to finish on 52.1 points, from 17 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 4.8% (up 0.5), finishes top three 21.3%, bottom three 3.6%.
7. Tondela — projected to finish on 50.8 points, from 16 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3.3% (up 0.8), finishes top three 17%, bottom three 4%.
8. Farense — projected to finish on 49.5 points, from 15 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.1% (down 0.6), finishes top three 10.9%, bottom three 3.3%.
9. Vizela — projected to finish on 47 points, from 15 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.1% (up 0.5), finishes top three 6.8%, bottom three 7.9%.
10. AVS — projected to finish on 46.7 points, from 13 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.9% (down 0.5), finishes top three 6.7%, bottom three 7.6%.
11. Torreense — projected to finish on 44.5 points, from 10 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.5% (up 0.3), finishes top three 3.4%, bottom three 11.1%.
12. Portimonense — projected to finish on 43.7 points, from 14 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2% (down 0.1), finishes top three 2.7%, bottom three 13.5%.
13. Leixoes — projected to finish on 40.8 points, from 11 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top three 2.2%, bottom three 24.7%.
14. FC Porto B — projected to finish on 39.5 points, from 8 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2% (up 0.1), finishes top three 1.5%, bottom three 30.7%.
15. Felgueiras 1932 — projected to finish on 38.4 points, from 8 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top three 1%, bottom three 33.5%.
16. Amarante — projected to finish on 37.7 points, from 9 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top three 0.5%, bottom three 35.5%.
17. Chaves — projected to finish on 35.1 points, from 8 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0.3%, bottom three 51.8%.
18. Feirense — projected to finish on 31.3 points, from 5 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom three 68.8%.

Top scorers

1. Danio Djassi (Portimonense) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
2. Welinton Júnior (Portimonense) — 1 goal.
3. André Rodrigues (Chaves) — 1 goal.
4. Mauro Couto (Sporting CP B) — 1 goal.
5. Cascavel (Tondela) — 1 goal.
6. Gonçalo Silva (Farense) — 1 goal.
7. S. Singh (Farense) — 1 goal.
8. J. Monteiro (Feirense) — 1 goal.
9. Gonçalo Cunha (Amarante) — 1 goal.
10. Paulo Cardoso (Sporting CP B) — 1 goal.
11. Mika Borges (Lusitânia Lourosa) — 1 goal.
12. K. Zohi (Academica) — 1 goal.
13. Leandro Silva (Academica) — 1 goal.
14. A. Idache (Amarante) — 0 goals, 1 assist.
15. Mattheus Oliveira (Farense) — 0 goals, 1 assist.
16. Tiago Dias (Tondela) — 0 goals, 1 assist.
17. Rodrigo Dias (Sporting CP B) — 0 goals, 1 assist.
18. Costinha (Chaves) — 0 goals, 1 assist.
19. A. Coundoul (Academica) — 0 goals, 1 assist.
20. Rafael Ferreira Nel (Sporting CP B) — 0 goals, 1 assist.