Primeira Liga

1. FC Porto — 33 points from 11 played (11 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost), 27 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +22. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
2. Benfica — 28 points from 11 played (9 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 30 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +20. Form, oldest first: L W W W W.
3. Sporting CP — 24 points from 11 played (7 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 24 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +13. Form, oldest first: D W L W W.
4. Santa Clara — 21 points from 11 played (6 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 16 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: D W L W L.
5. Arouca — 20 points from 11 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 13 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: D W W W L.
6. Academico Viseu — 20 points from 11 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 15 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W W W W L.
7. GIL Vicente — 18 points from 11 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W W L D W.
8. SC Braga — 17 points from 11 played (5 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L L L W W.
9. Moreirense — 14 points from 11 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 13 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: D L W W L.
10. Famalicao — 13 points from 11 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 15 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W L W L W.
11. Alverca — 12 points from 11 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 14 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W W L L D.
12. Estrela — 10 points from 11 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost), 17 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L L L L L.
13. Nacional — 10 points from 11 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 7 lost), 11 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L L W L W.
14. Vitória SC — 9 points from 11 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 11 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D L W D L.
15. Maritimo — 8 points from 10 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 9 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: L D L L L.
16. Casa Pia — 8 points from 11 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 7 lost), 6 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -14. Form, oldest first: W L W L D.
17. Rio Ave — 7 points from 11 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 8 lost), 9 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -15. Form, oldest first: L W L L L.
18. Estoril — 2 points from 10 played (0 won, 2 drawn, 8 lost), 5 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -14. Form, oldest first: L L L L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 10 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Casa Pia — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 50.4%.
• Estoril — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 74.6%.
• Estrela — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 17.6%.
• Famalicao — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 1.5%.
• FC Porto — chance of finishing top down 0.1, to 69.3%.

Season projection

Every one of the 208 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. FC Porto — projected to finish on 84.5 points, from 33 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 69.3% (down 0.1), finishes top two 93.7%, bottom three 0%.
2. Benfica — projected to finish on 77.7 points, from 28 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 22.1%, finishes top two 71.5%, bottom three 0%.
3. Sporting CP — projected to finish on 72.3 points, from 24 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 8.5% (up 0.1), finishes top two 33.4%, bottom three 0%.
4. SC Braga — projected to finish on 55.7 points, from 17 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.5%, bottom three 0%.
5. Santa Clara — projected to finish on 54.6 points, from 21 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.3%, bottom three 0%.
6. Academico Viseu — projected to finish on 53.7 points, from 20 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.3%, bottom three 0%.
7. Arouca — projected to finish on 52.2 points, from 20 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.2%, bottom three 0.1%.
8. GIL Vicente — projected to finish on 50.4 points, from 18 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.1%, bottom three 0.2%.
9. Famalicao — projected to finish on 45.3 points, from 13 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 1.5%.
10. Alverca — projected to finish on 43 points, from 12 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 3.4%.
11. Moreirense — projected to finish on 41.9 points, from 14 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 4.8%.
12. Vitória SC — projected to finish on 39.4 points, from 9 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 8.8%.
13. Estrela — projected to finish on 36.2 points, from 10 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 17.6%.
14. Nacional — projected to finish on 34.8 points, from 10 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 22.3%.
15. Casa Pia — projected to finish on 29.4 points, from 8 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 50.4%.
16. Maritimo — projected to finish on 29 points, from 8 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 54%.
17. Rio Ave — projected to finish on 27.4 points, from 7 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 62.3%.
18. Estoril — projected to finish on 24.5 points, from 2 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 74.6%.

Top scorers

1. V. Pavlidis (Benfica) — 11 goals, 3 assists.
2. L. Suárez (Sporting CP) — 9 goals, 1 assist.
3. G. Prestianni (Benfica) — 7 goals, 4 assists.
4. Borja Sainz (FC Porto) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
5. Pau Victor (SC Braga) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
6. André Clóvis (Academico Viseu) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
7. L. Antonetti (Estrela) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
8. Barbero (Arouca) — 5 goals.
9. Gabri Veiga (FC Porto) — 5 goals, 4 assists.
10. Gonçalo Paciência (Santa Clara) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
11. G. Koutsias (Famalicao) — 5 goals.
12. A. Marcus (Estrela) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
13. André Silva (FC Porto) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
14. I. Stoica (Estrela) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
15. S. Messeguem (Academico Viseu) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
16. Flávio Gonçalves (Sporting CP) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
17. N. John (Moreirense) — 3 goals.
18. João Guilherme (Academico Viseu) — 3 goals.
19. Vivaldo Semedo (Alverca) — 3 goals.
20. Victor Mow Froholdt (FC Porto) — 3 goals.