1. SNL

1. Koper — 29 points from 15 played (8 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost), 26 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +13. Form, oldest first: D W W W D.
2. Maribor — 24 points from 15 played (6 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost), 22 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W D L L L.
3. Celje — 23 points from 14 played (6 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost), 19 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W D D W W.
4. Olimpija Ljubljana — 23 points from 15 played (6 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost), 17 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: D W D W D.
5. Bravo — 23 points from 15 played (6 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost), 17 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: L D D L W.
6. Nafta — 19 points from 15 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost), 19 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: W D D L D.
7. Aluminij — 17 points from 15 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost), 21 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: L L D W L.
8. Brinje-Grosuplje — 16 points from 15 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost), 16 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L L D D W.
9. Mura — 14 points from 15 played (2 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost), 15 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: D D D D D.
10. Radomlje — 8 points from 14 played (1 won, 5 drawn, 8 lost), 16 scored, 31 conceded, goal difference -15. Form, oldest first: D D D L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 7 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Aluminij — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 19.3%.
• Brinje-Grosuplje — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 75%.
• Celje — chance of finishing top down 0.1, to 35.5%.
• Maribor — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 8.2%; bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 0.8%.
• Nafta — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 20.8%.

Season projection

Every one of the 106 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Relegation - Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Koper — projected to finish on 67.6 points, from 29 after 15 played. Finishes top of the regular season 47.4%, finishes top four 95.4%, bottom one 0%.
2. Celje — projected to finish on 65.6 points, from 23 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 35.5% (down 0.1), finishes top four 93.7%, bottom one 0%.
3. Maribor — projected to finish on 58.7 points, from 24 after 15 played. Finishes top of the regular season 8.2% (up 0.1), finishes top four 75.2%, bottom one 0%.
4. Olimpija Ljubljana — projected to finish on 57.8 points, from 23 after 15 played. Finishes top of the regular season 6.5% (down 0.1), finishes top four 71.2%, bottom one 0%.
5. Bravo — projected to finish on 53 points, from 23 after 15 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2%, finishes top four 41.3%, bottom one 0.1%.
6. Aluminij — projected to finish on 45.4 points, from 17 after 15 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3%, finishes top four 12.2%, bottom one 1.1%.
7. Nafta — projected to finish on 45.4 points, from 19 after 15 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 9.5%, bottom one 0.9%.
8. Brinje-Grosuplje — projected to finish on 36.4 points, from 16 after 15 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.7%, bottom one 12%.
9. Mura — projected to finish on 34.1 points, from 14 after 15 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.8%, bottom one 20.3%.
10. Radomlje — projected to finish on 27.4 points, from 8 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom one 65.7%.