Premiership

1. Celtic — 18 points from 6 played (6 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost), 14 scored, 3 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
2. Rangers — 13 points from 6 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 7 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: L W W W W.
3. Heart of Midlothian — 12 points from 6 played (4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost), 13 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W W W W L.
4. St Mirren — 10 points from 6 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 8 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W D W L L.
5. Motherwell — 8 points from 6 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 8 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D D W L L.
6. Dundee — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W W L D L.
7. St Johnstone — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 8 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L L D W L.
8. Aberdeen — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 6 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L L L D W.
9. Hibernian — 6 points from 6 played (2 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost), 7 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W W L L L.
10. Falkirk — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 5 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D L L D W.
11. Dundee United — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 6 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L L W L D.
12. Kilmarnock — 4 points from 6 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 5 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L L L D W.

What moved

Measured against 2026-09-15, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 12 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Motherwell — chance of finishing top down 3.9, to 0.1%; bottom-three risk up 31.1, to 32.5%.
• Aberdeen — chance of finishing top up 0.3, to 0.3%; bottom-three risk down 28.9, to 23.5%.
• Dundee — chance of finishing top up 0.9, to 0.9%; bottom-three risk down 26.5, to 11.2%.
• Celtic — chance of finishing top up 24.9, to 85.3%.
• Hibernian — chance of finishing top down 0.6, to 0.2%; bottom-three risk up 20.3, to 27.1%.

Season projection

Every one of the 162 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. Movement is measured against 2026-09-15, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Celtic — projected to finish on 67.5 points, from 18 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 85.3% (up 24.9), finishes top four 99.5%, bottom three 0%.
2. Rangers — projected to finish on 54.1 points, from 13 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 6.6% (down 10), finishes top four 75.5%, bottom three 1.3%.
3. Heart of Midlothian — projected to finish on 51.8 points, from 12 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 4.2% (down 13.6), finishes top four 64.1%, bottom three 2.6%.
4. St Mirren — projected to finish on 49.8 points, from 10 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.1% (up 1.9), finishes top four 51.7%, bottom three 4.4%.
5. Dundee — projected to finish on 46.5 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.9% (up 0.9), finishes top four 33.4%, bottom three 11.2%.
6. Aberdeen — projected to finish on 43.2 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3% (up 0.3), finishes top four 17.6%, bottom three 23.5%.
7. St Johnstone — projected to finish on 42.4 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2% (up 0.1), finishes top four 14.8%, bottom three 27%.
8. Hibernian — projected to finish on 42.4 points, from 6 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2% (down 0.6), finishes top four 14.7%, bottom three 27.1%.
9. Motherwell — projected to finish on 41.5 points, from 8 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (down 3.9), finishes top four 12.1%, bottom three 32.5%.
10. Falkirk — projected to finish on 41.2 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2% (up 0.2), finishes top four 11.8%, bottom three 32.8%.
11. Dundee United — projected to finish on 37.4 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 4.1%, bottom three 56.7%.
12. Kilmarnock — projected to finish on 32.9 points, from 4 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.7%, bottom three 81.1%.

Top scorers

1. J. Fowler (St Johnstone) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
2. C. Durán (Celtic) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
3. B. Nygren (Celtic) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
4. J. Wilson (Heart of Midlothian) — 3 goals.
5. K. Høgh (Celtic) — 3 goals.
6. L. Shankland (Rangers) — 3 goals.
7. K. Phillips (St Mirren) — 3 goals.
8. J. McPake (Heart of Midlothian) — 2 goals, 4 assists.
9. J. Westley (Dundee) — 2 goals.
10. C. Wright (Hibernian) — 2 goals.
11. Yang Hyun-Jun (Celtic) — 2 goals.
12. K. Nisbet (Aberdeen) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
13. Cláudio Braga (Heart of Midlothian) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
14. M. Boyle (Hibernian) — 2 goals.
15. Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise (Motherwell) — 1 goal, 2 assists.
16. Samu (St Mirren) — 1 goal, 2 assists.
17. S. Kerjota (Heart of Midlothian) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
18. J. Randall (Dundee United) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
19. A. Lowry (Motherwell) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
20. N. Lowe (Hibernian) — 1 goal, 1 assist.