Segunda División

1. Almeria — 32 points from 14 played (10 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 26 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: W D D W W.
2. Castellón — 30 points from 13 played (9 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 24 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +19. Form, oldest first: L W W D W.
3. Girona — 24 points from 14 played (7 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 24 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W W L L W.
4. Burgos — 24 points from 14 played (7 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 20 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W W D W L.
5. Mallorca — 23 points from 13 played (6 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost), 18 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W D D W D.
6. Eibar — 23 points from 12 played (7 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 21 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W L D L D.
7. Granada CF — 23 points from 12 played (7 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 20 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
8. Sporting Gijon — 23 points from 14 played (7 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 16 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W L W L D.
9. Oviedo — 21 points from 14 played (6 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 20 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W D L W L.
10. Cordoba — 20 points from 14 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 25 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W W D W D.
11. Las Palmas — 20 points from 13 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 19 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L L W W W.
12. Valladolid — 18 points from 14 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 22 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: L L W W L.
13. Sabadell — 18 points from 13 played (4 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost), 12 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W L D L D.
14. Tenerife — 15 points from 12 played (3 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost), 15 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L D D D D.
15. Leganes — 15 points from 14 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 14 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L D L L W.
16. Eldense — 14 points from 13 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 7 lost), 13 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W W L L L.
17. Celta de Vigo II — 13 points from 13 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost), 19 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W D L D L.
18. Real Sociedad II — 13 points from 14 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost), 17 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L L W D D.
19. FC Andorra — 11 points from 13 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 8 lost), 18 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W L L D L.
20. Cadiz — 10 points from 13 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost), 16 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.
21. Albacete — 10 points from 13 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 9 lost), 13 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L L W W W.
22. AD Ceuta FC — 5 points from 13 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 10 lost), 10 scored, 30 conceded, goal difference -20. Form, oldest first: L L L L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 20 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Almeria — chance of finishing top up 6.5, to 30.3%.
• Castellón — chance of finishing top down 5.2, to 52.3%.
• Girona — chance of finishing top up 1.4, to 5.2%.
• Cadiz — bottom-three risk up 1.3, to 48.2%.
• Celta de Vigo II — bottom-three risk down 1.2, to 20.7%.

Season projection

Every one of the 316 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Semi-finals, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Castellón — projected to finish on 86.3 points, from 30 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 52.3% (down 5.2), finishes top two 76.7%, bottom four 0%.
2. Almeria — projected to finish on 82.4 points, from 32 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 30.3% (up 6.5), finishes top two 60.2%, bottom four 0%.
3. Girona — projected to finish on 73 points, from 24 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5.2% (up 1.4), finishes top two 18.2%, bottom four 0%.
4. Eibar — projected to finish on 71.9 points, from 23 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5% (down 1), finishes top two 15.7%, bottom four 0.1%.
5. Mallorca — projected to finish on 69.9 points, from 23 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3% (up 0.3), finishes top two 10.1%, bottom four 0.1%.
6. Granada CF — projected to finish on 67.2 points, from 23 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.1% (down 0.5), finishes top two 8.1%, bottom four 0.9%.
7. Burgos — projected to finish on 64.9 points, from 24 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.7% (down 0.2), finishes top two 3%, bottom four 0.8%.
8. Sporting Gijon — projected to finish on 61.7 points, from 23 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.4% (down 0.2), finishes top two 2.1%, bottom four 2%.
9. Oviedo — projected to finish on 60.6 points, from 21 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3% (down 0.7), finishes top two 1.6%, bottom four 2.2%.
10. Las Palmas — projected to finish on 60.2 points, from 20 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2% (down 0.3), finishes top two 1.2%, bottom four 4.2%.
11. Cordoba — projected to finish on 59.2 points, from 20 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3% (down 0.1), finishes top two 1.6%, bottom four 6.2%.
12. Sabadell — projected to finish on 57.7 points, from 18 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top two 0.4%, bottom four 4.5%.
13. Tenerife — projected to finish on 53.6 points, from 15 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.3%, bottom four 14%.
14. Valladolid — projected to finish on 53.3 points, from 18 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top two 0.2%, bottom four 13.6%.
15. FC Andorra — projected to finish on 51.6 points, from 11 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.2%, bottom four 19.7%.
16. Real Sociedad II — projected to finish on 49.6 points, from 13 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 25%.
17. Celta de Vigo II — projected to finish on 48.6 points, from 13 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.1%, bottom four 30.2%.
18. Eldense — projected to finish on 47.5 points, from 14 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 32.8%.
19. Leganes — projected to finish on 45.5 points, from 15 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 42.7%.
20. Albacete — projected to finish on 45.1 points, from 10 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 44.6%.
21. Cadiz — projected to finish on 41.1 points, from 10 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 61.5%.
22. AD Ceuta FC — projected to finish on 29.4 points, from 5 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 95.2%.

Top scorers

1. Miguel de la Fuente (Almeria) — 9 goals, 1 assist.
2. A. Marin (Celta de Vigo II) — 8 goals, 1 assist.
3. Enric Gallego (Tenerife) — 8 goals, 1 assist.
4. Fuentes (Mallorca) — 7 goals, 1 assist.
5. Percan (Cordoba) — 6 goals, 3 assists.
6. Israel Suero (Castellón) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
7. Jordi Cano (FC Andorra) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
8. Y. Asprilla (Girona) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
9. Adrian Arnuncio (Valladolid) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
10. Carlos Domínguez (Oviedo) — 5 goals.
11. Antonio Cordero (Cadiz) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
12. V. Vanat (Girona) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
13. Eder García (Cordoba) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
14. Álex Forés (Burgos) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
15. Jordi Escobar (AD Ceuta FC) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
16. A. Jakobsen (Castellón) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
17. Ousmane Camara (Castellón) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
18. Carlos Hernández (AD Ceuta FC) — 4 goals.
19. Jorge Pascual (Granada CF) — 4 goals.
20. Iván Gil (Eibar) — 4 goals, 1 assist.