League Tables
Challenge League
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy lead on 31 points, 6 ahead of FC Winterthur. The model's chances of winning the title: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 93.1%, FC Winterthur 5.3% and Yverdon Sport 1.6%, from 10,000 simulations of the 25 matches left. The table as it stands, and where the model expects it to finish. Projections are final positions, not qualification or relegation. How the model works. Upcoming predictions →
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — 31 points from 13 played (9 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost), 28 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +22. Form, oldest first: D W D W W.
- FC Winterthur — 25 points from 13 played (7 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 28 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: W L W W D.
- Yverdon Sport — 23 points from 13 played (6 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost), 23 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: D W W L D.
- SC Kriens — 19 points from 13 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 22 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W D L D W.
- Neuchatel Xamax FC — 17 points from 13 played (5 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 16 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L W D L D.
- FC Aarau — 15 points from 13 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 19 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L L L W L.
- Étoile Carouge — 14 points from 13 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost), 14 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L L W D D.
- FC WIL 1900 — 14 points from 13 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost), 21 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W D D L W.
- Rapperswil — 11 points from 13 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 8 lost), 18 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: W L D L L.
- Stade Nyonnais — 8 points from 13 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 9 lost), 13 scored, 34 conceded, goal difference -21. Form, oldest first: L W L W L.
What moved
Measured against 2026-11-12, the last update whose numbers changed —
not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried
forward rather than restamped.
Season projection
Every one of the 25 matches this competition has left,
played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each
side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a
title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those
depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. Movement is measured against 2026-11-12, the last update whose numbers changed.
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — projected to finish on 40.6 points, from 31 after 13 played. Wins it 93.1%, finishes top four 100%, bottom one 0%.
- FC Winterthur — projected to finish on 33 points, from 25 after 13 played. Wins it 5.3%, finishes top four 99.5%, bottom one 0%.
- Yverdon Sport — projected to finish on 32.1 points, from 23 after 13 played. Wins it 1.6%, finishes top four 98.8%, bottom one 0%.
- SC Kriens — projected to finish on 25.8 points, from 19 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 54.4%, bottom one 0%.
- Neuchatel Xamax FC — projected to finish on 24.8 points, from 17 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 34.7%, bottom one 0.1%.
- FC Aarau — projected to finish on 20.5 points, from 15 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 4.2%, bottom one 0.6%.
- Étoile Carouge — projected to finish on 20.5 points, from 14 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 4%, bottom one 1.5%.
- FC WIL 1900 — projected to finish on 20.5 points, from 14 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 4%, bottom one 1.3%.
- Rapperswil — projected to finish on 16.6 points, from 11 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom one 8.6%.
- Stade Nyonnais — projected to finish on 12.1 points, from 8 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom one 87.9%.
Challenge League: how many points to win the title?
Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026
35 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 38 in nine out of ten.
39 pts99%
37 pts88%
35 pts61%
33 pts28%
31 pts6%
050%100%
Only first place wins the title.
Challenge League: how many points for the top four?
Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026
25 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 27 in nine out of ten.
28 pts98%
27 pts93%
26 pts80%
25 pts63%
24 pts40%
23 pts19%
22 pts7%
050%100%
Final positions, not qualification: that depends on the competition's rules.
Challenge League: how many points to stay up?
Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026
12 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 15 in nine out of ten.
18 pts~100%
16 pts96%
14 pts80%
12 pts55%
10 pts25%
8 pts4%
050%100%
The bottom one are in the relegation zone.