Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Ittihad 2-1 Al-Fayha.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Al-Ittihad, 25% draw, 23% Al-Fayha — fair odds of 1.92, 4.00 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Al-Ittihad at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 50M. Al AbsiG
- 4J. SimicD
- 2D. PereiraD
- 15H. KadeshD
- 25F. AbdiD
- 30D. LopyM
- 5R. RiosM
- 27A. Al GhamdiM
- 10H. AouarM
- 34S. BergwijnM
- 9G. IlenikhenaF
- 88O. Al MermeshG
- 42M. FagihyD
- 13M. Al ShanqitiD
- 66M. BarnawiD
- 60R. KaabiM
- 11S. Al ShehriF
- 21Y. En NesyriF
- 22M. Al SahafiF
- 29F. Al ShamraniM
- 52O. MosqueraG
- 22M. Al BaqawiD
- 15P. OliveiraD
- 2M. Al RashidiD
- 24A. BamsaudD
- 23Jason RemeseiroM
- 5Hugo MouraM
- 6A. Al HussainM
- 10F. SakalaM
- 30Alfa SemedoF
- 17LazaroF
- 1A. Al DuqaylG
- 12T. Al JaadiD
- 21Z. Al SahafiD
- 47M. Al DowaishD
- 14M. Al BesheM
- 43F. AlhubayshiM
- 27S. Al JarbiF
- 9M. Al AbdulmanamF
- 77R. Enad
Form going into Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
Al-Ittihad
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Al-Nassr5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Al-Fateh29 August 2026
Al-Fayha
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Al Kholood3 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Ittihad | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Ittihad and Al-Fayha
Al-Ittihad
GoalsAssists
- Y. En-Nesyri70
- G. Ilenikhena63
- S. Bergwijn51
Al-Fayha
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Ittihad beat Al-Fayha 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Al-Ittihad at 52%. The goals: G. Ilenikhena 43' for Al-Ittihad, Jason Remeseiro 45' for Al-Fayha, Y. En Nesyri (penalty) 68' for Al-Ittihad. On expected goals it finished 2.42–0.62.