Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Smouha SC 0-2 Ceramica Cleopatra.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Smouha SC, 29% draw, 35% Ceramica Cleopatra — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Smouha SC at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 28A. MayhoubG
- 30A. GamalD
- 24M. Ragab
- 4Abdel Rasoul AhmedD
- 3M. DesoukiD
- 7A. El SisiM
- 8S. Fekri
- 66K. MohamedM
- 10K. El GhandourM
- 14MakaronaM
- 20P. BadjiF
- 1H. TaimourG
- 13C. NiyigenaD
- 19M. AdelM
- 17A. El Nadry
- 21A. MohamedF
- 27H. BalahaF
- 23F. FaridF
- 9M. HamdiM
- 45E. NwekeF
- 23M. Alaa
- 2A. HanyD
- 4BeckhamD
- 24J. ArthurD
- 27H. El SayedD
- 15S. El ErakiM
- 10A. Belhadji
- 28K. AmrM
- 29M. OtakaM
- 77BoboF
- 9N. GradisarF
- 18M. BassamG
- 5N. Ragab
- 8A. MagdyM
- 32F. El HenawyM
- 66M. El MaghrabyD
- 17A. El SoliaM
- 30M. EmadM
- 22K. Al NabrisF
- 25E. S. Shika M.F
Form going into Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
Smouha SC
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Al Ahly3 September 2026
Ceramica Cleopatra
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Future FC2 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Egypt Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Smouha SC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Smouha SC and Ceramica Cleopatra
Smouha SC
GoalsAssists
- P. Badji21
Ceramica Cleopatra
GoalsAssists
- Mohamed Reda32
- Ahmed Belhadji23
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ceramica Cleopatra won 2–0 at Smouha SC. The model had leaned towards a win for Smouha SC at 36% and given a win for Ceramica Cleopatra 35%. The goals: S. El Eraki 49' for Ceramica Cleopatra, H. El Sayed 57' for Ceramica Cleopatra. On expected goals it finished 0.62–0.55.
How the call on Smouha SC v Ceramica Cleopatra has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 42% / 28% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 36% / 29% / 35%: the biggest move is Smouha SC's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Smouha SC win36%▼ −6
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Ceramica Cleopatra win35%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.