Austria vs Kosovo UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Austria 3-1 Kosovo.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Austria, 28% draw, 31% Kosovo — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Austria at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Austria vs Kosovo
Line-ups
- 13Christian ZawieschitzkyG
- 15N. VeratschnigD
- 2D. AffengruberD
- 3K. DansoD
- 14M. WöberD
- 4X. SchlagerM
- 6N. SeiwaldM
- 21P. WimmerM
- 10P. WannerM
- 18R. SchmidM
- 8J. AdamuF
- 23M. FriedlD
- 17C. ChukwuemekaM
- 19M. GrüllF
- 20S. HorvathM
- 9S. KalajdzicF
- 11C. LangM
- 7V. MarkovicM
- 5S. PoschD
- 22A. PrassD
- 1A. MurićG
- 5L. DellovaD
- 4I. KrasniqiD
- 2R. RaciD
- 15M. VojvodaM
- 23L. AvdullahuM
- 20V. HodžaM
- 13D. GallapeniM
- 17E. KrasniqiF
- 18V. MuriqiF
- 14B. ZabërgjaF
- 11F. AsllaniF
- 3M. AvdyliM
- 12V. BekajG
- 22V. DemakuM
- 19D. KacuriM
- 8V. MatoshiM
- 6Erblin OsmaniM
- 7M. RashicaM
- 9A. RrahmaniF
Form going into Austria vs Kosovo
Austria
UEFA Nations League
- W3-1Israel24 September 2026
Kosovo
UEFA Nations League
- W1-0Rep. Of Ireland24 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Austria beat Kosovo 3–1. The model had made a win for Austria its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: David Affengruber 23' for Austria, Junior Chukwubuike Adamu 45+2' for Austria, Carney Chukwuemeka 61' for Austria, Edon Zhegrova (penalty) 83' for Kosovo.