Gibraltar vs Andorra UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Gibraltar 0-0 Andorra.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Gibraltar, 29% draw, 25% Andorra — fair odds of 2.17, 3.45 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Gibraltar at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gibraltar vs Andorra
Line-ups
- 1B. BandaG
- 5D. BentD
- 6B. LopesD
- 3J. ValarinoD
- 8K. RonanM
- 19L. MasonM
- 22G. TorrillaM
- 4N. PozoM
- 11J. ScanlonM
- 10T. De BarrF
- 9D. BorgeF
- 2E. JolleyD
- 16H. StevensM
- 23J. HankinsG
- 20E. BrittoD
- 15Paddy McClaffertyD
- 7Carlos Peliza RichardsF
- 17L. JessopF
- 18J. BartoloF
- 13Victor Huart GuerraG
- 12Iker ÁlvarezG
- 2Biel BorraD
- 5Max LloveraD
- 22Ian OliveraD
- 15Moisés San NicolásD
- 16Éric De Las Heras IzquierdoM
- 3Pau BabotM
- 14jordi alaezM
- 10G. LópezM
- 17Aron RodrigoM
- 20Gerard GarciaF
- 21A. CornellaD
- 11Albert RosasF
- 19Joel GuillénD
- 4Christian GarcíaD
- 1M. De CastroG
- 6Francisco PomaresD
- 8Eric ValesM
- 7Alexandre MartínezF
- 9Ricard FernándezF
Form going into Gibraltar vs Andorra
Gibraltar
No earlier matches on record this season.
Andorra
UEFA Nations League
- L1-2Malta24 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gibraltar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 2 | Andorra | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gibraltar vs Andorra
- 4 September 2024Gibraltar 1–0 AndorraFriendlies
- 19 November 2022Gibraltar 1–0 AndorraFriendlies
- 7 June 2021Andorra 0–0 GibraltarFriendlies
The result against the call
Gibraltar and Andorra drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Gibraltar at 46% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.