3 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Avai vs Ceara Serie B prediction & result

Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis
Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano, Brazil
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Avai 0-1 Ceara.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Avai, 29% draw, 42% Ceara — fair odds of 3.45, 3.45 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Ceara at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Avai3%Draw93%Ceara4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Reynaldo Cesar Moraesout: Jefferson Maciel
3'
Romildo
37'
Wenderson
37'
38'
Luiz Otávio
55'
Richardson
🔁Léo Gamalhoout: Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira
60'
63'
🔁Richardsonout: Vinicius Zanocelo
63'
🔁Lucca Holanda Sampaio Tavaresout: Vinícius
🔁João Vitorout: Wallison
70'
🔁Romildoout: Gaspar
70'
Felipe Vizeu
71'
75'
🔁Enzo Valentim Lodovicoout: Rian Bonfim De Santana
75'
🔁Bryan Borges Mascarenhasout: Janderson Gabriel De Oliveira Martins
87'
🔁Matheus Araujoout: Renzo López
Daniel Penha
90+2'
90+6'
⚽Luiz Otávioassist: Renzo López

Match stats — Avai vs Ceara

56%Possession44%
20Shots13
5On target5
8Corners6

Line-ups

Avai 4-2-3-1
  • 94Bruno FerreiraG
  • 22João Vitor Cardoso de SouzaD
  • 3AllysonD
  • 40ReynaldoD
  • 36DGD
  • 5Del PiageM
  • 8Luiz HenriqueM
  • 14Daniel PenhaM
  • 95WendersonM
  • 10Jean LucasM
  • 9Léo GamalhoF
Substitutes
  • 1Igor BohnG
  • 18HyanM
  • 23Gabriel CiprianoF
  • 15Guilherme VargasD
  • 70GasparF
  • 38Jefferson MacielD
  • 2WallisonD
  • 30Kauã Gabriel Pereira Dos SantosF
  • 66QuaresmaD
Coach: Allan Aal
Ceara 4-2-3-1
  • 1RichardG
  • 2Rafael RamosD
  • 4Luiz OtávioD
  • 13Luiz OtávioD
  • 31BryanD
  • 26RichardsonM
  • 81Joao GabrielM
  • 60EnzoM
  • 40RichardM
  • 8Matheus AraújoM
  • 99LuccaF
Substitutes
  • 7Giovanni PavaniM
  • 77Lenny LobatoF
  • 94R. LópezF
  • 10L. MugniM
  • 29VinaM
  • 25Vinicius ZanoceloM
  • 23Caíque FrançaG
  • 16Rian Bonfim De SantanaF
  • 44Kaiky Cabral LeãoM
Coach: Daniel Paulista

Brazil Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17Avai38127193747-1043
16Ceara381111163948-944

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Avai vs Ceara

  • 10 June 2026Ceara 2–1 AvaiSerie B
  • 3 November 2024Ceara 2–0 AvaiSerie B
  • 20 July 2024Avai 0–1 CearaSerie B
  • 22 October 2023Avai 1–0 CearaSerie B
  • 28 June 2023Ceara 0–0 AvaiSerie B

Leading scorers: Avai and Ceara

Avai

No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 37 league goals as a side.

Ceara

GoalsAssists

  • Richard74

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ceara won 1–0 at Avai. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Ceara at 42%. The goal: Luiz Otávio 90+6' for Ceara.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.