3 October 2026, 20:00 UTC

Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta Serie B prediction & result

Arena Pantanal, Cuiaba
Referee: Michelangelo Martins De Almeida Junior
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Cuiaba 2-0 Ponte Preta.

Before kick-off the model made it 66% Cuiaba, 22% draw, 12% Ponte Preta — fair odds of 1.52, 4.55 and 8.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cuiaba at 66%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Cuiaba99%Draw1%Ponte Preta0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo
26'
Jean Dias da Costa
35'
36'
Juan Rodrigues Leopoldino
45'
Sergio Palacios
45'
🔁Juan Rodrigues Leopoldinoout: Gustavo Lopes Teles
David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo
49'
Raul Lô Gonçalves
49'
Raul Lô Gonçalves
49'
🔁Jean Dias da Costaout: Ramon de Araujo Silva Moutinho
60'
🔁Fabio Gomesout: Pedro Henrique
60'
61'
🔁Emanuell Silva Ferreiraout: Miguel Morais Silva Santos
•Pedro Henrique
69'
71'
Gilson Kleina
⚽Pedro Henrique (pen)
73'
🔁David Miguel de Souza Arcanjoout: Luiz Otavio
74'
🔁Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmoout: Vinicius Peixoto
74'
75'
David da Hora
•Eric Almeida de Melo
79'
Ramon de Araujo Silva Moutinho
81'
81'
🔁Julio De Oliveiraout: Felipe Di Mauro Reis Coutinho
82'
🔁Guilherme Brandão Azevedoout: Danilo
🔁Lorenzo Silva Martinsout: Weverson Rodrigues Vicente Do Nascimento
85'

Match stats — Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta

74%Possession26%
15Shots2
7On target0
7Corners0

Line-ups

Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
  • 1João CarlosG
  • 91LuisãoD
  • 5CalebeD
  • 14EricD
  • 2Igor InocêncioM
  • 20David MiguelM
  • 30RaulM
  • 36LorenzoM
  • 41KauanM
  • 77Jean DiasM
  • 90Fábio GomesF
Substitutes
  • 96Pedro HenriqueF
  • 97Luiz OtávioM
  • 26João VitorM
  • 12BusattoG
  • 22Pedro Carminatti JacominM
  • 50Pedro Felipetto Colen BarcellosM
  • 70Wesley DiasM
  • 29Vinicius PeixotoF
  • 11ElielF
Coach: Eduardo Barros
Ponte Preta 3-4-1-2
  • 30ViniciusG
  • 23S. PalaciosD
  • 15Gabriel Caran de OliveiraD
  • 44Gustavo AlmeidaD
  • 2JulioM
  • 16JuanM
  • 22DenisM
  • 13Diego PorfírioM
  • 7Emanuell Silva FerreiraM
  • 9BrandãoF
  • 18David da HoraF
Substitutes
  • 6Nicolas SilvaM
  • 32Felipe Di Mauro Reis CoutinhoD
  • 35Gustavo LopesM
  • 4Diego Monteiro LeaoD
  • 20Thevyn Dos Anjos SouzaF
  • 17MiguelM
  • 1Guilherme VianaG
  • 5Rodrigo SouzaM
  • 19DaniloF
Coach: Gilson Kleina

Brazil Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Cuiaba381114133433+147
20Ponte Preta3836292181-6015

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta

  • 9 June 2026Ponte Preta 1–2 CuiabaSerie B
  • 11 January 2021Ponte Preta 2–2 CuiabaSerie B
  • 9 October 2020Cuiaba 2–1 Ponte PretaSerie B
  • 28 September 2019Ponte Preta 3–0 CuiabaSerie B
  • 1 June 2019Cuiaba 1–3 Ponte PretaSerie B

The result against the call

Cuiaba beat Ponte Preta 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Cuiaba at 66%. The goals: Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo 26' for Cuiaba, Pedro Henrique (penalty) 73' for Cuiaba. Sent off: Gilson Kleina (Ponte Preta) 71'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.