Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Bnei Sakhnin 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Bnei Sakhnin, 36% draw, 33% Beitar Jerusalem — fair odds of 3.23, 2.78 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 0-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
the draw at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem
Line-ups
- 1R. BalbarauG
- 29A. SalmanD
- 2M. GantusD
- 5I. Abu Abaid
- 17A. KaradiD
- 92SanaD
- 77A. SeferM
- 8M. VorobjovasM
- 28I. HajajM
- 10M. CudjoeF
- 16L. HalafF
- 22M. Abu NilG
- 20M. GanameD
- 44A. GnamehD
- 7M. Sheikh YosefM
- 6A. TahaD
- 21M. Abu Riya
- 11J. BushnaqF
- 24B. KhuriF
- 25E. E. Abdalla
- 55Miguel SilvaG
- 14R. ElimelechD
- 25L. DeriD
- 4B. CarabaliD
- 11T. MuzieD
- 40Boris EnowM
- 30T. YosefiM
- 26D. WorkoM
- 77O. AtziliF
- 19S. WeissmanF
- 13E. AnsahF
- 22Y. OzerG
- 5G. CohenD
- 91N. ShedoF
- 15N. MucheM
- 10A. YonaM
- 8Z. Ben ShimolM
- 9J. KaluF
- 7Y. ShuaF
- 18R. Abergil
Form going into Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem
Bnei Sakhnin
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Maccabi Petah Tikva29 August 2026
Beitar Jerusalem
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Hapoel Tel Aviv3 September 2026
- L1-4Maccabi Netanya29 August 2026
- W2-1away to Austria Vienna13 August 2026
- L1-2Austria Vienna6 August 2026
- L2-3AEK Larnaca30 July 2026
What these results say
- Beitar Jerusalem conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Beitar Jerusalem had three goals or more.
- Beitar Jerusalem failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bnei Sakhnin | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Beitar Jerusalem | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Bnei Sakhnin and Beitar Jerusalem
Bnei Sakhnin
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Beitar Jerusalem
GoalsAssists
- O. Atzili33
- E. Ansah31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Beitar Jerusalem won 1–0 at Bnei Sakhnin. The model had leaned towards a draw at 36% and given a win for Beitar Jerusalem 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: E. Ansah 63' for Beitar Jerusalem.
How the call on Bnei Sakhnin v Beitar Jerusalem has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 33% / 38% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 31% / 36% / 33%: the biggest move is Beitar Jerusalem's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Bnei Sakhnin win31%▼ −2
- Draw36%▼ −2
- Beitar Jerusalem win33%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.