Rubin vs Akhmat Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Rubin 1-1 Akhmat.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Rubin, 29% draw, 30% Akhmat — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Russian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Rubin at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rubin vs Akhmat
Line-ups
- 38E. StaverG
- 98N. LobovD
- 2E. TeslenkoD
- 13J. UrozovD
- 12A. ArroyoM
- 22V. HodzaM
- 77A. JukicM
- 51I. RozhkovM
- 71I. SamoshnikovF
- 43J. SiweF
- 23R. BezrukovF
- 25A. NigmatullinG
- 86N. KoretsG
- 5I. VujacicD
- 70D. KabutovD
- 27A. GritsaenkoD
- 3D. MaldonadoD
- 18M. IgnatievD
- 4K. NizhegorodovD
- 8B. JocicM
- 1V. UlyanovG
- 95A. AdamovD
- 6K. SidibeD
- 5K. CakeD
- 8M. BogosavacD
- 11I. SilvaM
- 18J. RomaoM
- 19S. PryakhinM
- 17E. CacinturaM
- 7L. SadulaevM
- 13M. KonateF
- 88G. SheliaG
- 71R. MitsaevG
- 81M. SidorovD
- 10K. ShchetininM
- 42M. KelianoM
- 54K. Kistenev
- 70A. GadzhievM
- 23G. KenzhebekM
- 20M. SamorodovF
Form going into Rubin vs Akhmat
Rubin
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Dinamo Makhachkala30 August 2026
- D1-1away to Baltika24 August 2026
- D1-1away to FC Rostov15 August 2026
- D1-1FC Orenburg9 August 2026
Akhmat
All competitions we cover
- D3-3Krylia Sovetov29 August 2026
- W4-1FC Rostov22 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Krasnodar15 August 2026
- D0-0away to Fakel10 August 2026
What these results say
- Rubin went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Rubin scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Rubin conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Akhmat failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Akhmat conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rubin | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Akhmat | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rubin vs Akhmat
- 22 November 2025Rubin 1–0 AkhmatPremier League
- 22 October 2025Rubin 3–3 AkhmatCup
- 26 August 2025Akhmat 2–0 RubinCup
- 20 July 2025Akhmat 0–2 RubinPremier League
- 1 March 2025Akhmat 2–1 RubinPremier League
Leading scorers: Rubin and Akhmat
Rubin
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Akhmat
GoalsAssists
- L. Sadulaev33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rubin and Akhmat drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Rubin at 41% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: J. Siwe (penalty) 26' for Rubin, E. Cacintura 56' for Akhmat.
How the call on Rubin v Akhmat has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 40% / 28% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 41% / 29% / 30%: the biggest move is Akhmat's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Rubin win41%▲ +1
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Akhmat win30%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.