7 September 2026, 15:00 UTC

Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908 Super League 1 prediction & result

Kaftanzoglio Stadium, Thessaloniki
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Asteras Tripolis 0-2 Iraklis 1908.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Asteras Tripolis, 29% draw, 25% Iraklis 1908 — fair odds of 2.17, 3.45 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Asteras Tripolis at 46% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Asteras Tripolis0%Draw1%Iraklis 190899%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
⚽Edgar Yoel Bárcenas
10'
•Edgar Yoel Bárcenas
🔁Kalvin Ketuout: Antonis Papakanellos
45'
🔁Ricardo Viana Filhoout: Federico Macheda
45'
45'
🔁Edgar Yoel Bárcenasout: Ivi López
Jordan Silva
51'
58'
🔁Elvir Koljićout: Pedro Marques
59'
🔁Kylian Kaiboueout: Nemanja Radoja
🔁Franco Orozcoout: Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
59'
Giannis Bouzoukis
61'
62'
Praxitelis Vouros
62'
Yohan Roche
68'
Ivi López
🔁Giannis Bouzoukisout: Nikos Kaltsas
69'
73'
⚽Ivi López (pen)
77'
🔁Mike·van Beijnenout: Marco Krainz
🔁Eder Gonzálezout: Adrián Riera
78'
Franz Brorsson
80'
89'
🔁Rob Nizetout: Nikos Anastasiadis

Match stats — Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908

65%Possession35%
14Shots6
5On target2
7Corners4

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis 4-1-4-1
  • 61V. ChatziemmanouilG
  • 27G. KotsirasD
  • 16F. BrorssonD
  • 32J. SilvaD
  • 28Alex MéndezD
  • 21D. KourbelisM
  • 19F. OrozcoM
  • 8I. BouzoukisM
  • 10Eder GonzálezM
  • 11K. KetuM
  • 39RicardinhoF
Substitutes
  • 6K. ChrisopoulosD
  • 14J. ChiccoM
  • 91T. KakadiarisG
  • 20N. KaltsasF
  • 51Giannis KriarasG
  • 74D. LaskarisD
  • 9F. MachedaF
  • 75B. Mbunga KimpiokaF
  • 44A. PapakanellosM
Coach: G. Antonopoulos
Iraklis 1908 5-4-1
  • 33G. AthanasiadisG
  • 30Carles SoriaD
  • 2P. VourosD
  • 21PiñaD
  • 69Y. RocheD
  • 31NanuD
  • 18R. NizetM
  • 90V. SourlisM
  • 22K. KaïbouéM
  • 10Y. BárcenasM
  • 7E. KoljićF
Substitutes
  • 44R. LauritsenD
  • 43Pedro MarquesF
  • 6CarlisM
  • 8N. RadojaM
  • 23Daniel Muñoz NavasD
  • 11Ivi LópezM
  • 9K. KushtaF
  • 27M. KrainzM
  • 1G. KarakasidisG
Coach: W. Mazzarri

Form going into Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908

Asteras Tripolis

  • L0-1Olympiakos Piraeus30 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Panetolikos23 August 2026

Iraklis 1908

  • D1-1away to Volos NFC29 August 2026
  • L0-4away to AEK Athens FC22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Asteras Tripolis401327-51
8Iraklis 1908412146-25

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908

  • 7 September 2026Asteras Tripolis 0–2 Iraklis 1908Super League 1

Leading scorers: Asteras Tripolis and Iraklis 1908

Asteras Tripolis

  • F. Macheda1 goals1 assists

Iraklis 1908

No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.