Brann
vs
Kristiansund BK
Eliteserien prediction
Our model says: Brann 2–1 Kristiansund BK
The model makes it 59% Brann, 22% draw, 19% Kristiansund BK — fair odds of 1.69, 4.55 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).
Expected goals: Brann 2.25, Kristiansund BK 1.07.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
Edge to Brann: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Brann's rating is built from 56 Eliteserien matches and Kristiansund BK's from 55, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 691 matches.
Key facts
- Brann are 7th on 33 points from 26 games; Kristiansund BK are 14th on 26 points from 26 games — Eliteserien.
- Brann have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Fredrikstad.
- Kristiansund BK are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Valerenga.
- Last 6 meetings: Brann 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 3 July 2026, ended Brann 1–2 Kristiansund BK.
More Eliteserien predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Brann vs Kristiansund BK
Has the model earned this number?
Brann at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Brann vs Kristiansund BK
Brann
Eliteserien
- D2-2away to Fredrikstad8 November 2026
- W3-2Molde1 November 2026
- L2-3away to Lillestrom25 October 2026
- L1-3away to Valerenga18 October 2026
- L0-2Viking9 October 2026
Kristiansund BK
Eliteserien
- W1-0Valerenga9 November 2026
- W4-2away to Sarpsborg 08 FF1 November 2026
- D2-2KFUM Oslo25 October 2026
- L1-4Aalesund17 October 2026
- L1-3away to Bodo/Glimt10 October 2026
What these results say
- Brann conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Brann failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Brann scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kristiansund BK scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Kristiansund BK conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Kristiansund BK had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brann | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 47 | 44 | +3 | 33 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Brann vs Kristiansund BK
- 3 July 2026Brann 1–2 Kristiansund BKFriendlies Clubs
- 15 March 2026Kristiansund BK 3–2 BrannEliteserien
- 31 August 2025Kristiansund BK 2–2 BrannEliteserien
- 1 June 2025Brann 4–2 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 6 February 2025Kristiansund BK 2–4 BrannFriendlies Clubs
- 21 June 2024Brann 5–0 Kristiansund BKFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Brann and Kristiansund BK
Brann
GoalsAssists
- N. Holm83
- K. Ingason83
Kristiansund BK
GoalsAssists
- L. Alvheim120
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Brann the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.25 expected goals for Brann against 1.07 for Kristiansund BK. Brann's attack/defence rating is 0.82/1.26 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.59/1.51 for Kristiansund BK.
How the model reaches 59% for Brann to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Brann to win. Then home advantage adds 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Brann's ratings add 8 points and Kristiansund BK's ratings add 8 points, which lands on the published 59%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage44%+7
- Both sides at this match's level43%−1
- Brann's ratings51%+8
- Kristiansund BK's ratings59%+8
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Brann at home · Kristiansund BK away
League matches only, Eliteserien, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Eliteserien matches this season: Brann 26, Kristiansund BK 26.
Kristiansund BK score most often in the 0–15 minute window (7 goals); Brann have let in 7 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Brann
- at Sarpsborg 08 FF6 Dec · Eliteserienwin 41%
- vs SC Braga10 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 28%
- vs Aalesund13 Dec · Eliteserienwin 56%
Kristiansund BK
- vs Lillestrom6 Dec · Eliteserienwin 30%
- at Start13 Dec · Eliteserienwin 35%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.