2 August 2026, 17:15 UTC

Brann vs Rosenborg Eliteserien prediction & result

Brann Stadion, Bergen
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Brann 3-2 Rosenborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Brann, 23% draw, 39% Rosenborg — fair odds of 2.63, 4.35 and 2.56.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rosenborg at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Brann5%Draw90%Rosenborg5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

2'
E. K. Ceide
⚽N. Castroassist: N. Wassberg
14'
59'
A. Chiakha
62'
⚽A. Chiakha (pen)
67'
⚽I. Fossumassist: J. Svensson
N. Wassberg
68'
T. Pedersen
68'
68'
🔁D. Durisout: J. Reitan-Sunde
68'
🔁J. Svenssonout: A. F. Witry
🔁E. Gudmundssonout: K. M. Ingason
69'
🔁N. Wassbergout: K. Eriksen
69'
73'
🔁I. Fossumout: J. Bakke
⚽K. M. Ingasonassist: K. Eriksen
75'
78'
A. Pereira
N. Castro
78'
85'
🔁O. Selnaesout: J. Mortensen
85'
🔁A. Pereiraout: H. Volden
🔁N. Castroout: S. Magnusson
90+5'
⚽K. Eriksenassist: J. Soltvedt
90'

Match stats — Brann vs Rosenborg

52%Possession48%
11Shots14
4On target7
5Corners12
0.76xG1.94

Goals against chances

Brann3 from 0.76 xGmore than the chances were worth
Rosenborg2 from 1.94 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Brann
  • 1M. DyngelandG
  • 21D. De RoeveD
  • 3F. KnudsenD
  • 23T. PedersenD
  • 17J. SoltvedtD
  • 25N. WassbergM
  • 18J. SorensenM
  • 8F. MyhreM
  • 19E. GudmundssonF
  • 29N. HolmF
  • 9N. CastroF
Substitutes
  • 12S. NilsenG
  • 20V. DragsnesD
  • 10K. M. IngasonF
  • 6D. MbackeD
  • 11B. FinneF
  • 16K. EriksenM
  • 22S. MagnussonF
  • 32M. HaalandM
  • 43B. HaugenM
Coach: Eirik Horneland
Rosenborg
  • 1L. WahlstedtG
  • 22J. SvenssonD
  • 4M. K. CeideD
  • 21T. NemcikD
  • 19A. PereiraD
  • 17M. BomholtM
  • 10O. SelnaesM
  • 8I. FossumM
  • 29D. DurisF
  • 18A. ChiakhaF
  • 35E. K. CeideF
Substitutes
  • 12R. SandbergG
  • 15J. MortensenD
  • 14J. Reitan-SundeF
  • 30M. SoboczynskiF
  • 16A. F. WitryD
  • 25J. BakkeM
  • 11N. SahsahF
  • 3T. DahlD
  • 5H. VoldenD
Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Form going into Brann vs Rosenborg

Brann

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1Universitatea Cluj30 July 2026
  • L2-3Valerenga26 July 2026
  • D2-2away to Universitatea Cluj23 July 2026
  • W2-1away to Molde18 July 2026

Rosenborg

All competitions we cover

  • W4-0Fredrikstad27 July 2026
  • W3-0away to Start18 July 2026

What these results say

  • Brann scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Brann conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Brann had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Brann26103134744+333
3Rosenborg2614485332+2146

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Brann vs Rosenborg

  • 25 April 2026Rosenborg 1–1 BrannEliteserien
  • 26 October 2025Rosenborg 2–3 BrannEliteserien
  • 11 May 2025Brann 0–0 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 20 October 2024Rosenborg 1–2 BrannEliteserien
  • 4 May 2024Brann 3–0 RosenborgEliteserien

Leading scorers: Brann and Rosenborg

Brann

GoalsAssists

  • N. Holm83
  • K. Ingason83

Rosenborg

GoalsAssists

  • Amin Chiakha184

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Brann beat Rosenborg 3–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Rosenborg at 39% and given a win for Brann 38%. The goals: N. Castro 14' for Brann, A. Chiakha (penalty) 62' for Rosenborg, I. Fossum 67' for Rosenborg, K. M. Ingason 75' for Brann, K. Eriksen 90' for Brann. On expected goals it finished 0.76–1.94.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.