Club Tijuana vs Leon Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Club Tijuana 1-0 Leon.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Club Tijuana, 24% draw, 23% Leon — fair odds of 1.89, 4.17 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Club Tijuana at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Club Tijuana vs Leon
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 2Antonio RodríguezG
- 3Rafael FernándezD
- 12Jackson PorozoD
- 6Jesús GómezD
- 33Pablo Nicolás OrtízD
- 8Iván TonaM
- 17Ramiro ÁrcigaM
- 20Ángel ZapataM
- 31Yael PadillaM
- 7Adonis PreciadoM
- 9Mourad El GhezouaniF
- 10Gilberto MoraM
- 16Jesús VegaD
- 19Diego AbreuF
- 18Aarón MejíaF
- 29Jorge HernándezG
- 188Alejandro MagallonD
- 4Unai BilbaoD
- 26Aldahir PérezM
- 197David OrduñoM
- 23Oscar GarcíaG
- 4Bryan ColulaD
- 14Jhohan RomañaD
- 3Juan GuevaraD
- 26Salvador ReyesD
- 20Rodrigo EcheverríaM
- 29José RodríguezM
- 16Jordi CortizoM
- 13Daniel ArcilaM
- 11Ismael DíazM
- 19José AlvaradoF
- 18Edgar GuerraM
- 6Fernando BeltránM
- 7Iván MorenoD
- 35Luis ValadezM
- 203Jesús LaraD
- 1Jordan GarcíaG
- 5Sebastián VegasD
- 22Sebastián SantosM
- 185Christopher MoraD
Form going into Club Tijuana vs Leon
Club Tijuana
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Tigres UANL17 July 2026
Leon
All competitions we cover
- L2-3Atlas18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Club Tijuana vs Leon
- 15 March 2026Leon 0–3 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 20 September 2025Club Tijuana 5–0 LeonLiga MX
- 2 March 2025Leon 2–1 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 31 August 2024Club Tijuana 2–1 LeonLiga MX
- 4 March 2024Club Tijuana 1–1 LeonLiga MX
Leading scorers: Club Tijuana and Leon
Club Tijuana
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.
Leon
GoalsAssists
- J. Alvarado61
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Club Tijuana beat Leon 1–0. The model had made a win for Club Tijuana its most likely outcome, at 53%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: G. Mora (penalty) 53' for Club Tijuana. On expected goals it finished 1.93–0.87.