Como
vs
Juventus
Serie A prediction
Our model says: Como 1–0 Juventus
The model makes it 39% Como, 31% draw, 30% Juventus — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Como 1.19, Juventus 0.96.
Both teams to score: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 36%, under 2.5: 64%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,327 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Como's rating is built from 49 Serie A matches and Juventus's from 49, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 870 matches.
Key facts
- Como are 5th on 23 points from 11 games; Juventus are 7th on 18 points from 11 games — Serie A.
- Como have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Inter.
- Juventus have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Fiorentina.
- Last 4 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 0 draws; the most recent, 21 February 2026, ended Juventus 0–2 Como.
More Serie A predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Como vs Juventus
Has the model earned this number?
Como at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Como vs Juventus
Como
Serie A
- L0-2away to Inter8 November 2026
- W1-0Venezia1 November 2026
- W3-1away to Torino27 October 2026
- W2-0Sassuolo24 October 2026
- W3-1away to Fiorentina18 October 2026
Juventus
Serie A
- D2-2away to Fiorentina8 November 2026
- W2-0Napoli1 November 2026
- L0-2away to Genoa28 October 2026
- W2-0away to Lecce25 October 2026
- L0-3Lazio18 October 2026
What these results say
- Como won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Como scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Como | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Como vs Juventus
- 21 February 2026Juventus 0–2 ComoSerie A
- 19 October 2025Como 2–0 JuventusSerie A
- 7 February 2025Como 1–2 JuventusSerie A
- 19 August 2024Juventus 3–0 ComoSerie A
Leading scorers: Como and Juventus
Como
GoalsAssists
- T. Douvikas50
Juventus
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Como a 2.4% chance of the title and Juventus 0.6%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Como the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.19 expected goals for Como against 0.96 for Juventus. Como's attack/defence rating is 1.17/0.65 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.15/0.72 for Juventus.
How the model reaches 39% for Como to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Como to win. Then home advantage adds 2 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Como's ratings add 1 point and Juventus's ratings add 1 point, which lands on the published 39%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage38%+2
- Both sides at this match's level37%−1
- Como's ratings38%+1
- Juventus's ratings39%+1
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Como at home · Juventus away
League matches only, Serie A, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
ComoJuventus
Como are 5th after 11 Serie A matches (between 1st and 6th so far); Juventus are 7th after 11 (between 2nd and 8th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Serie A matches this season: Como 11, Juventus 11.
Como score most often in the 31–45 minute window (5 goals); Juventus have let in 1 there.
Juventus score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Como have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Como
- at Monza5 Dec · Serie Awin 57%
- at Real Betis9 Dec · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 33%
- vs Bologna12 Dec · Serie Awin 48%
Juventus
- vs Udinese6 Dec · Serie Awin 58%
- at Hapoel Beer Sheva10 Dec · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 52%
- vs Monza14 Dec · Serie Awin 60%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.