Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Daejeon Citizen 2-0 Incheon United.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Daejeon Citizen, 28% draw, 33% Incheon United — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Daejeon Citizen at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United
Line-ups
- 1Lee Chang-GeunG
- 33Kim Moon-HwanD
- 4Jo Seong-KwonD
- 98A. KrivotsyukD
- 16Lee Myung-JaeD
- 6Kang Yun-SungM
- 30Kim Bong-SooM
- 11Um Won-SangM
- 19Seo Jin-SuM
- 17G. LudwigsonM
- 10Joo Min-KyuF
- 27Jeong Jae-HeeF
- 13Kim Jin-YaD
- 14Kim Jun-BumM
- 3Kim Min-DukD
- 31Kim Min-SooG
- 44Lee Soon-MinM
- 20Lee Hyun-SikM
- 77João VictorF
- 9Diogo de OliveiraF
- 21Lee Tae-HuiG
- 3Lee Sang-GiD
- 4Kim Geon-HuiD
- 20Park Kyung-SubD
- 32Lee Ju-YongD
- 17Kim Seong-MinM
- 15Seo Jae-MinM
- 5Lee Myung-JooM
- 77Park Seung-HoM
- 72Lee Chung-YongF
- 99M. FerrierF
- 13Choi Seung-GuD
- 11GersoF
- 23Jeong Chi-InM
- 1Kim Dong-HeonG
- 30Kim Young-WhanM
- 28Kim YeonsooD
- 26Lee Min-HyeokM
- 10Lee Dong-RyulF
- 9S. MugošaF
Form going into Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United
Daejeon Citizen
K League 1
- D0-0away to Jeonbuk Motors31 October 2026
- W2-1away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC24 October 2026
- W3-2Gwangju FC18 October 2026
- W2-1Jeonbuk Motors9 October 2026
Incheon United
K League 1
- W1-0away to FC Seoul1 November 2026
- W3-1Jeju United FC24 October 2026
- D1-1away to Gangwon FC18 October 2026
- W3-0Pohang Steelers9 October 2026
What these results say
- Daejeon Citizen went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Daejeon Citizen won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Daejeon Citizen scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Incheon United went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Incheon United scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Incheon United won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Daejeon Citizen | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 41 | +14 | 53 |
| 6 | Incheon United | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 37 | +7 | 49 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United
- 20 September 2026Incheon United 1–1 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 5 May 2026Daejeon Citizen 0–0 Incheon UnitedK League 1
- 18 March 2026Incheon United 1–3 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 10 November 2024Incheon United 1–2 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 17 August 2024Daejeon Citizen 2–1 Incheon UnitedK League 1
- 18 May 2024Daejeon Citizen 0–1 Incheon UnitedK League 1
Leading scorers: Daejeon Citizen and Incheon United
Daejeon Citizen
GoalsAssists
- Diogo de Oliveira62
- Jeong Jae-Hee41
- M. Ishida41
Incheon United
GoalsAssists
- S. Mugoša111
- M. Ferrier51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Daejeon Citizen beat Incheon United 2–0. The model had made a win for Daejeon Citizen its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Diogo Oliveira 71' for Daejeon Citizen, Lee Myung-Jae 79' for Daejeon Citizen.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.