FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: FC Seoul 1-2 Ulsan Hyundai FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% FC Seoul, 24% draw, 25% Ulsan Hyundai FC — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
FC Seoul at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
Line-ups
- 25Gu Sung-YunG
- 16Choi JunD
- 4Lee Sang-MinD
- 5Yazan Al ArabD
- 22Kim Jin-SuD
- 7Jeong Seung-WonM
- 41Hwang Do-YoonM
- 6H. BabecM
- 10Anderson OliveiraM
- 11L. RuizF
- 27Moon Seon-MinF
- 26Baek Jong-BeomG
- 19Cheon Seong-HoonF
- 18Cho Young-WookF
- 14Hyeon-Woo JeongF
- 20Lee Han-DoD
- 88Park Jang Han-GyeolM
- 40Park Seong-HunD
- 42J. SonM
- 66Park Soo-IlD
- 21Jo Hyeon-WooG
- 66M. TrojakD
- 15Jung Seung-HyunD
- 19Kim Young-GwonD
- 2Yoon Jong-GyuM
- 38Park Yong-WooM
- 55T. Oude KotteM
- 26Cho Hyun-TaekM
- 14Lee Jin-HyunF
- 10Lee Dong-GyeongF
- 11Erick FariasF
- 72Back In-WooM
- 6D. BojanićM
- 99Yago CarielloF
- 31Hwang Byeong-GeunG
- 20Jung Jae-SangF
- 8Lee Hui-GyunM
- 28Lee Jae-IkD
- 16Park Woo-jinM
- 77Sim Sang-MinD
Form going into FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
FC Seoul
K League 1
- L0-1Incheon United1 November 2026
- D1-1Gangwon FC24 October 2026
- D2-2Gimcheon Sangmu FC18 October 2026
- W2-1Jeju United FC10 October 2026
Ulsan Hyundai FC
K League 1
- W2-1Gangwon FC1 November 2026
- D2-2Pohang Steelers24 October 2026
- W2-1Bucheon FC 199517 October 2026
- L3-4away to Gwangju FC11 October 2026
What these results say
- FC Seoul conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- FC Seoul failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Seoul scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Ulsan Hyundai FC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Ulsan Hyundai FC conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Ulsan Hyundai FC had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 32 | +30 | 67 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 56 | 49 | +7 | 57 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
- 8 September 2026Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–0 FC SeoulK League 1
- 26 July 2026FC Seoul 1–3 Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1
- 15 April 2026Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–4 FC SeoulK League 1
- 24 August 2025FC Seoul 3–2 Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1
- 20 July 2025FC Seoul 1–0 Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1
- 5 April 2025Ulsan Hyundai FC 0–0 FC SeoulK League 1
Leading scorers: FC Seoul and Ulsan Hyundai FC
FC Seoul
GoalsAssists
- P. Klimala80
Ulsan Hyundai FC
GoalsAssists
- Yago Cariello131
- Lee Dong-Gyeong1010
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ulsan Hyundai FC won 2–1 at FC Seoul. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Seoul at 51% and given a win for Ulsan Hyundai FC 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Lee Dong-gyeong 35' for Ulsan Hyundai FC, Lee Han-do 75' for FC Seoul, Yago Cariello Ribeiro 90' for Ulsan Hyundai FC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.