Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Real Betis.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Deportivo La Coruna, 29% draw, 38% Real Betis — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Real Betis at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis
Line-ups
- 13Leo RománG
- 23Ximo NavarroD
- 20J. GiménezD
- 22B. EdeD
- 12G. QuagliataD
- 11David MellaM
- 6Marc CasadóM
- 21Mario SorianoM
- 14Riki RodríguezM
- 18Jonathan Asp JensenF
- 32B. NsongoF
- 4L. NoubiD
- 24Adama TraoréF
- 15Miguel LoureiroD
- 10PekeF
- 25Álvaro FernándezG
- 9Z. EddahchouriF
- 19Luismi CruzF
- 3Arnau ComasD
- 2Adrià AltiD
- 1Álvaro VallésG
- 2Héctor BellerínD
- 5Marc BartraD
- 4NatanD
- 11Fran GarcíaD
- 18N. DeossaM
- 21Marc RocaM
- 8Pablo FornalsM
- 7AntonyF
- 9C. HernándezF
- 10A. EzzalzouliF
- 25Dani CeballosM
- 17Rodrigo RiquelmeM
- 15Álvaro FidalgoM
- 23Junior FirpoD
- 16V. GómezD
- 31Manu GonzálezG
- 22IscoM
- 20G. Lo CelsoM
- 27J. A. MoranteF
Form going into Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis
Deportivo La Coruna
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Sevilla16 September 2026
- D1-1away to Getafe13 September 2026
- W3-2away to Villarreal5 September 2026
- W3-1Valencia30 August 2026
- D1-1away to Malaga24 August 2026
Real Betis
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Getafe17 September 2026
- W2-1away to Villarreal14 September 2026
- W3-2away to Lille8 September 2026
- W1-0Real Madrid4 September 2026
- L2-5away to Levante29 August 2026
What these results say
- Deportivo La Coruna conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Deportivo La Coruna scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Deportivo La Coruna.
- Real Betis scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Real Betis won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis
- 12 February 2018Deportivo La Coruna 0–1 Real BetisLa Liga
- 16 September 2017Real Betis 2–1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
- 8 March 2017Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Real BetisLa Liga
- 26 August 2016Real Betis 0–0 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
- 13 February 2016Deportivo La Coruna 2–2 Real BetisLa Liga
Leading scorers: Deportivo La Coruna and Real Betis
Deportivo La Coruna
GoalsAssists
- P. Aubameyang52
Real Betis
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Deportivo La Coruna and Real Betis drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Real Betis at 38% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Cucho Hernández 43' for Real Betis, Diego Villares 87' for Deportivo La Coruna.
How the call on Deportivo La Coruna v Real Betis has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 35% / 28% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 11 updates, it read 33% / 29% / 38%: the biggest move is Deportivo La Coruna's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Deportivo La Coruna win33%▼ −2
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Real Betis win38%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.