20 September 2026, 12:00 UTC

Getafe vs Malaga La Liga prediction & result

Coliseum, Getafe
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Getafe 1-0 Malaga.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Getafe, 32% draw, 32% Malaga — fair odds of 2.78, 3.13 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Getafe at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Getafe97%Draw3%Malaga0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Johan Mojica
21'
39'
Eneko Jauregi
45+5'
David Larrubia
45'
🔁Eneko Jauregiout: Adrian Nino
Nemanja Gudelj
54'
Francho Serrano Gracia
58'
🔁Dakonam Ortega Djenéout: Orel Mangala
65'
67'
🔁Dani Lorenzoout: Pablo Martínez Andrés
67'
🔁Joaquín Muñozout: Carlos Ruiz Rubio
Ramón Terrats
68'
74'
🔁Rafael Rodríguez Ruizout: Ramón Enríquez
⚽Iván Azónassist: Martin Satriano
85'
89'
🔁Juan Berrocalout: Juan Cruz
🔁Iván Azónout: Saba Sazonov
89'
🔁Martin Satrianoout: David Cordón Mancha
90+4'

Match stats — Getafe vs Malaga

45%Possession55%
20Shots11
7On target4
5Corners9

Line-ups

Getafe 4-5-1
  • 13David SoriaG
  • 21Andrés GarcíaD
  • 2D. DakonamD
  • 24Z. RomeroD
  • 22J. MojicaD
  • 20Iván AzónM
  • 11Ramón TerratsM
  • 8N. GudeljM
  • 16Francho SerranoM
  • 10M. SatrianoM
  • 19E. ÜnalF
Substitutes
  • 26J. ValouD
  • 4S. SazonovD
  • 9Borja MayoralF
  • 23O. MangalaM
  • 1J. LetáčekG
  • 31M. HamdouneD
  • 35Diego FerrerG
  • 3DavinchiD
  • 15S. BoselliD
Coach: Pepe Bordalás
Malaga 4-1-4-1
  • 1Alfonso HerreroG
  • 31RafitaD
  • 15Ángel RecioD
  • 25Juan BerrocalD
  • 12José SalinasD
  • 14Rafa RodríguezM
  • 10David LarrubiaM
  • 8Carlos DotorM
  • 22Dani LorenzoM
  • 11Joaquín MuñozM
  • 17Eneko JauregiF
Substitutes
  • 32J. FernandezF
  • 3PugaD
  • 5Álex PastorD
  • 21Adrián Niño HerediaF
  • 23Izan MerinoM
  • 18Pablo MartínezM
  • 13Carlos LópezG
  • 4Einar GalileaD
  • 6Ramón EnríquezM
Coach: Funes

Form going into Getafe vs Malaga

Getafe

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Real Betis17 September 2026
  • D1-1Deportivo La Coruna13 September 2026
  • D1-1Celta Vigo7 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Osasuna31 August 2026
  • L1-2away to FK Partizan27 August 2026

Malaga

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3Villarreal17 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Celta Vigo13 September 2026
  • D0-0Levante6 September 2026
  • L0-4away to Real Madrid30 August 2026
  • D1-1Deportivo La Coruna24 August 2026

What these results say

  • Getafe did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Getafe conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Getafe had two goals or fewer.
  • Malaga did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Malaga conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Getafe12336818-1012
20Malaga12057923-145

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Getafe vs Malaga

  • 19 May 2018Malaga 0–1 GetafeLa Liga
  • 12 January 2018Getafe 1–0 MalagaLa Liga
  • 5 February 2016Malaga 3–0 GetafeLa Liga
  • 18 September 2015Getafe 1–0 MalagaLa Liga
  • 28 February 2015Malaga 3–2 GetafeLa Liga

The full Getafe vs Malaga record →

Leading scorers: Getafe and Malaga

Getafe

No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Malaga

GoalsAssists

  • Adrián Niño Heredia51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Getafe beat Malaga 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Getafe at 36%. The goal: Iván Azón 85' for Getafe.

How the call on Getafe v Malaga has moved

First published on 6 Sep at 41% / 31% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 10 updates, it read 36% / 32% / 32%: the biggest move is Getafe's chance of winning, down 5 points.

  1. Getafe win36%▼ −5
  2. Draw32%▲ +1
  3. Malaga win32%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.