Villarreal vs Levante La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Villarreal 3-1 Levante.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Villarreal, 28% draw, 31% Levante — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Villarreal at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Villarreal vs Levante
Line-ups
- 25P. GulácsiG
- 3A. FreemanD
- 6Pau NavarroD
- 12Renato VeigaD
- 23Sergi CardonaD
- 24N. SalibaM
- 18P. GueyeM
- 17T. BuchananM
- 10Alberto MoleiroM
- 11Ilias AkhomachF
- 22Ayoze PérezF
- 13Rubén GómezG
- 2Logan CostaD
- 16C. MaciaM
- 9G. MikautadzeF
- 7Gerard MorenoF
- 15S. MouriñoD
- 21T. OluwaseyiF
- 19N. PépéF
- 1Luíz JúniorG
- 13M. RyanG
- 22J. ToljanD
- 4DelaD
- 2A. MandiD
- 23Manu SánchezD
- 18E. BardeliM
- 20Oriol ReyM
- 8Jon Ander OlasagastiM
- 7BruguiF
- 9Iván RomeroF
- 24T. FernándezF
- 17Víctor GarcíaD
- 14Jorge CabelloD
- 27Paco CortésF
- 1Pablo CuñatG
- 11Yanis MusuayiF
- 3IfeanyiIfeanyi NdukweD
- 29Nacho PérezD
- 10P. RatkovF
- 6RequeM
Form going into Villarreal vs Levante
Villarreal
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to Malaga17 September 2026
- L1-2Real Betis14 September 2026
- L2-3away to Borussia Dortmund8 September 2026
- L2-3Deportivo La Coruna5 September 2026
- L0-1away to Alaves28 August 2026
Levante
All competitions we cover
- L2-4Barcelona13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Malaga6 September 2026
- W5-2Real Betis29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Osasuna24 August 2026
- L0-3away to Espanyol16 August 2026
What these results say
- Villarreal conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Villarreal failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Villarreal scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Levante failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Villarreal vs Levante
- 5 August 2026Villarreal 1–0 LevanteFriendlies Clubs
- 2 May 2026Villarreal 5–1 LevanteLa Liga
- 18 February 2026Levante 0–1 VillarrealLa Liga
- 3 August 2022Villarreal 3–1 LevanteFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Villarreal and Levante
Villarreal
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Levante
GoalsAssists
- Brugui51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Villarreal beat Levante 3–1. The model had made a win for Villarreal its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Ayoze Pérez 41' for Villarreal, Iván Romero 42' for Levante, Alberto Moleiro 54' for Villarreal, Georges Mikautadze 86' for Villarreal.
How the call on Villarreal v Levante has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 44% / 27% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 15 updates, it read 41% / 28% / 31%: the biggest move is Villarreal's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Villarreal win41%▼ −3
- Draw28%▲ +1
- Levante win31%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.