Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Difaa EL Jadida 1-1 UTS Rabat.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Difaa EL Jadida, 27% draw, 36% UTS Rabat — fair odds of 2.70, 3.70 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Difaa EL Jadida at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat
Form going into Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat
Difaa EL Jadida
Botola Pro
- D1-1away to Kawkab Marrakech25 October 2026
- W4-1Moghreb Tetouan17 October 2026
- W5-2away to Amal Tiznit10 October 2026
UTS Rabat
Botola Pro
- L0-1Wydad AC24 October 2026
- L0-1away to CODM Meknès17 October 2026
- D0-0Renaissance Berkane8 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Difaa EL Jadida | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | UTS Rabat | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat
- 25 June 2026UTS Rabat 1–2 Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
- 14 February 2026Difaa EL Jadida 1–0 UTS RabatBotola Pro
- 27 February 2025Difaa EL Jadida 1–0 UTS RabatBotola Pro
- 26 October 2024UTS Rabat 2–2 Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
- 29 January 2023UTS Rabat 2–1 Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
- 2 September 2022Difaa EL Jadida 1–0 UTS RabatBotola Pro
The result against the call
Difaa EL Jadida and UTS Rabat drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Difaa EL Jadida at 37% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Imran Douieb 53' for UTS Rabat, Abderrazak Ennakouss (penalty) 67' for Difaa EL Jadida. Sent off: Omar Arjoune (UTS Rabat) 90+4'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.