30 October 2026, 13:15 UTC

Malavan vs Chadormalu SC Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium, Bandar-e Anzali
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Malavan 1-2 Chadormalu SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Malavan, 26% draw, 35% Chadormalu SC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.85 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Malavan at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Malavan5%Draw91%Chadormalu SC4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Beheshti
7'
46'
🔁P. Lashakout: Renny
46'
🔁A. Kamaliout: M. Tabatabaei
F. Moamelehgari
58'
64'
🔁R. Albornoout: A. Anafjeh
70'
🔁R. Dehghanout: R. Bahan
83'
🔁R. Mirzaeiout: I. Negahdari
85'
⚽M. Tabatabaei
89'
H. Sedghi
90+3'
90+7'
⚽R. Mahmoudabadi

Line-ups

Malavan
Coach: Maziar Zare

Form going into Malavan vs Chadormalu SC

Malavan

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • D1-1away to Paykan25 October 2026
  • L1-2Foolad FC13 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Aluminium Arak8 October 2026

Chadormalu SC

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • D1-1Esteghlal FC23 October 2026
  • W2-1away to ZOB Ahan18 October 2026
  • D2-2Kheybar Khorramabad9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Malavan123361218-610
8Chadormalu SC124531215-317

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Malavan vs Chadormalu SC

  • 29 January 2026Malavan 1–0 Chadormalu SCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 13 September 2025Chadormalu SC 0–0 MalavanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 1 February 2025Chadormalu SC 1–0 MalavanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 24 November 2024Chadormalu SC 2–2 MalavanHazfi Cup
  • 30 August 2024Malavan 3–1 Chadormalu SCPersian Gulf Pro League

The result against the call

Chadormalu SC won 2–1 at Malavan. The model had leaned towards a win for Malavan at 39% and given a win for Chadormalu SC 35%. The goals: M. Beheshti 7' for Malavan, M. Tabatabaei 85' for Chadormalu SC, R. Mahmoudabadi 90+7' for Chadormalu SC.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Malavan a 33.8% chance to finish in the bottom four: 2.0% after a win, 42.4% after a draw, 63.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 63.9%, 30.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Malavan v Chadormalu SC has moved

First published on 16 Oct at 40% / 27% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 39% / 26% / 35%: the biggest move is Chadormalu SC's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Malavan win39%▼ −1
  2. Draw26%▼ −1
  3. Chadormalu SC win35%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.