30 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

ZOB Ahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Foolad Shahr Stadium, Isfahan
Full time0 – 0

Final score: ZOB Ahan 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% ZOB Ahan, 29% draw, 28% Esteghlal Khuzestan — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

ZOB Ahan at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

ZOB Ahan4%Draw93%Esteghlal Khuzestan3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

15'
🔁M. Mehdizadehout: A. Karami
F. Esmaeili
45+1'
🔁A. Mortazaviout: R. Jafari
46'
46'
🔁M. Sharifiout: M. Zavari
46'
🔁A. Farhadiout: M. Mousavi
51'
J. Zergani
🔁A. Jahan Kohanout: M. Ghaed Rahmati
58'
64'
🔁A. Sharafiout: H. Bouhamdan
🔁M. Mohammadiout: B. Teymourian
67'
A. Shojaei
70'
77'
🔁J. Zerganiout: A. Abbasi
🔁F. Esmaeiliout: A. Eslami
81'
🔁A. Shojaeiout: A. Azadmanesh
81'

Line-ups

ZOB Ahan
  • 20D. Noshirvani
  • 23A. Jeddi
  • 3S. Karimi
  • 2A. Hosseinifar
  • 6A. Shojaei
  • 10O. Latifi
  • 88F. Esmaeili
  • 18A. Jahan Kohan
  • 17J. Alimohammadi
  • 71A. Mortazavi
  • 7M. Mohammadi
Substitutes
  • 1H. Pourhamidi
  • 5S. Hosseini
  • 9A. Azadmanesh
  • 11R. Jafari
  • 21M. Khaledi
  • 30A. Eslami
  • 55B. Teymourian
  • 57S. Taherkhani
  • 68A. Mohammadi
Esteghlal Khuzestan
  • 78M. A. Rezaei
  • 44S. M. Ahle
  • 66M. Mehdizadeh
  • 75F. Jafari
  • 77M. Ahmadi
  • 12E. Sazegari
  • 16A. Sharafi
  • 34J. Zergani
  • 6M. Sharifi
  • 7A. Rostami
  • 23A. Farhadi
Substitutes
  • 1M. Kia
  • 4A. Abbasi
  • 5M. Soltanimehr
  • 8H. Bouhamdan
  • 10A. Savaed
  • 11A. Mardani
  • 13M. Mousavi
  • 15A. Karami
  • 21S. Simanpour

Form going into ZOB Ahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan

ZOB Ahan

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • D0-0away to Aluminium Arak23 October 2026
  • L1-2Chadormalu SC18 October 2026
  • L1-2Sepahan FC13 October 2026

Esteghlal Khuzestan

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • W2-0Shams Azar Qazvin25 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Kheybar Khorramabad18 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Gol Gohar8 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14ZOB Ahan12174610-410
13Esteghlal Khuzestan12255916-711

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: ZOB Ahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan

  • 25 December 2025Esteghlal Khuzestan 2–0 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 17 April 2025ZOB Ahan 1–0 Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 10 December 2024Esteghlal Khuzestan 0–0 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 13 March 2024ZOB Ahan 0–2 Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 21 September 2023Esteghlal Khuzestan 1–2 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 17 March 2019ZOB Ahan 2–0 Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League

The result against the call

ZOB Ahan and Esteghlal Khuzestan drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for ZOB Ahan at 43% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave ZOB Ahan a 47.3% chance to finish in the bottom four: 10.2% after a win, 68.3% after a draw, 89.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 68.3%, 21 points higher than before the match.

For Esteghlal Khuzestan the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 49.8% going in: 1.9% after a win, 47.2% after a draw, 79.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 47.2%, 2.6 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on ZOB Ahan v Esteghlal Khuzestan has moved

First published on 16 Oct at 46% / 29% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 43% / 29% / 28%: the biggest move is ZOB Ahan's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. ZOB Ahan win43%▼ −3
  2. Draw29%=
  3. Esteghlal Khuzestan win28%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.