Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Djurgardens IF 1-2 IF Elfsborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Djurgardens IF, 31% draw, 24% IF Elfsborg — fair odds of 2.22, 3.23 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Djurgardens IF at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg
Line-ups
- 35J. RinneG
- 18A. StåhlD
- 5M. TenhoD
- 4J. Une-LarssonD
- 2P. JohanssonD
- 13D. StenssonM
- 20M. SiltanenM
- 8P. ÅslundM
- 16Bo Åsulv HeglandM
- 19J. OkkelsM
- 9K. LienF
- 28A. AnderssonM
- 11O. FalleniusF
- 29A. JohanssonM
- 6P. LanghoffM
- 24M. LarssonM
- 21M. MarquesD
- 14C. RosenquistF
- 30Lukas Henrik JonssonG
- 10A. AbdulmalikM
- 31I. PetterssonG
- 16A. JensenD
- 6R. WikströmD
- 4T. IsherwoodD
- 23N. HultD
- 18J. MagnússonM
- 10S. OlssonM
- 29M. KamaraM
- 19J. BeckM
- 9A. ZeneliM
- 21L. ÃstmanF
- 25A. SigurpálssonF
- 5O. NordvallM
- 22D. KrasniqiF
- 15S. HedlundM
- 3J. EsengaD
- 2Viggo ElfstromD
- 27Oladimeji Oluwatimilehin AbdulmuizM
- 12T. SanderG
Form going into Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg
Djurgardens IF
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Gais14 September 2026
- W1-0away to Kalmar FF7 September 2026
- W2-0away to Mjallby AIF3 September 2026
- W4-0Mjallby AIF31 August 2026
- W3-0away to Malmo FF24 August 2026
IF Elfsborg
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Kalmar FF13 September 2026
- L1-2away to IF Brommapojkarna6 September 2026
- W2-0Degerfors IF29 August 2026
- D1-1away to IFK Goteborg23 August 2026
- W3-0Vasteras SK FK14 August 2026
What these results say
- Djurgardens IF won every one of these 5 matches.
- Djurgardens IF scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Djurgardens IF kept a clean sheet in every one of these 5 matches.
- IF Elfsborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Djurgardens IF | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 56 | 27 | +29 | 52 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 31 | +11 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg
- 22 April 2026IF Elfsborg 2–1 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
- 19 July 2025Djurgardens IF 1–0 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
- 19 May 2025IF Elfsborg 4–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
- 22 November 2024Djurgardens IF 0–3 IF ElfsborgFriendlies Clubs
- 28 July 2024IF Elfsborg 1–2 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Djurgardens IF and IF Elfsborg
Djurgardens IF
GoalsAssists
- K. Lien166
- Bo Åsulv Hegland1116
- C. Rosenquist81
IF Elfsborg
GoalsAssists
- L. Ãstman112
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
IF Elfsborg won 2–1 at Djurgardens IF. The model had leaned towards a win for Djurgardens IF at 45% and given a win for IF Elfsborg 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Rasmus Wikström 44' for IF Elfsborg, Jacob Une Larsson 66' for Djurgardens IF, Simon Olsson 76' for IF Elfsborg.
How the call on Djurgardens IF v IF Elfsborg has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 50% / 28% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 10 updates, it read 45% / 31% / 24%: the biggest move is Djurgardens IF's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- Djurgardens IF win45%▼ −5
- Draw31%▲ +3
- IF Elfsborg win24%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.