Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjaelland DBU Pokalen prediction & result
Final score: Esbjerg 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland.
Before kick-off the model made it 19% Esbjerg, 25% draw, 56% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 5.26, 4.00 and 1.79.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
FC Nordsjaelland at 56%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1W. Lykke
- 17J. Lucena
- 15A. Sonderskov
- 5J. Foss
- 19S. Strand
- 6L. Vigen
- 10O. Boesen
- 22B. Hvidt
- 8M. Maden
- 39N. Strandby
- 80M. Brajanac
- 34E. Jorgensen
- 24G. Madsen
- 25G. Bjerge
- 4P. Tjornelund
- 32N. Blicher
- 7N. Strunck
- 9J. Ampofo
- 99A. Ahmad
- 13A. Hansen
- 2P. Ankersen
- 3T. Salquist
- 4N. Markmann
- 21M. Heyde
- 6M. Brink
- 8N. Rojkjaer
- 28M. Walker
- 40H. Rasmussen
- 11A. Lind
- 29V. Berthelsen
- 16J. Busk
- 32V. Gustafsen
- 23R. Norheim
- 15S. Acquah
- 37L. Sadio
- 18J. Janssen
- 9O. Solbakken
- 14I. Adel
- 49W. Faber
Form going into Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjaelland
Esbjerg
1. Division
- W2-1FC Fredericia24 October 2026
- D0-0away to Aarhus Fremad16 October 2026
- D3-3Aalborg10 October 2026
FC Nordsjaelland
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Silkeborg25 October 2026
- D2-2CSKA Sofia22 October 2026
- D3-3away to Lyngby18 October 2026
- D1-1away to Heart of Midlothian15 October 2026
- D0-0Odense9 October 2026
What these results say
- FC Nordsjaelland went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- FC Nordsjaelland did not win any of these 5 matches.
- FC Nordsjaelland scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjaelland
- 29 February 2020Esbjerg 1–2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 28 July 2019FC Nordsjaelland 2–0 EsbjergSuperliga
- 6 May 2019Esbjerg 0–0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 14 April 2019FC Nordsjaelland 1–2 EsbjergSuperliga
- 16 December 2018Esbjerg 3–0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 15 July 2018FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 EsbjergSuperliga
The result against the call
FC Nordsjaelland won 1–0 at Esbjerg. The model had made a win for FC Nordsjaelland its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: A. Lind 12' for FC Nordsjaelland.
How the call on Esbjerg v FC Nordsjaelland has moved
First published on 14 Oct at 17% / 24% / 59% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 19% / 25% / 56%: the biggest move is FC Nordsjaelland's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Esbjerg win19%▲ +2
- Draw25%▲ +1
- FC Nordsjaelland win56%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often Esbjerg's most recent league matches and FC Nordsjaelland's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.