Kashima vs Pohang Steelers AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Kashima 3-0 Pohang Steelers.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% Kashima, 23% draw, 14% Pohang Steelers — fair odds of 1.59, 4.35 and 7.14.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Kashima at 63%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kashima vs Pohang Steelers
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1T. HayakawaG
- 37R. HiroseD
- 4K. ChidaD
- 5I. SekigawaD
- 7R. OgawaD
- 24H. HayashuM
- 35A. MotosunaM
- 8Matheus BuenoM
- 17ÉlberM
- 34H. TokudaF
- 77A. ČavrićF
- 25R. KoikeD
- 14Y. HiguchiM
- 9Léo CearáF
- 27Y. MatsumuraM
- 28Y. OkawaD
- 42Rui OnukiM
- 10G. ShibasakiM
- 40Y. SuzukiF
- 23K. TsukuiD
- 21Hwang In-JaeG
- 13Kang Min-JunD
- 5Jin Si-wooD
- 20Park Chan-YongD
- 33Jo Sung-WookD
- 77WandersonD
- 31K. NishiyaM
- 8Kim Seung-HoM
- 16Kim Dong-JinM
- 10J. TranziskaF
- 25Jorge LuizF
- 1Yun Pyeong-GookG
- 17Shin Kwang-HoonD
- 14Lee Chang-WooD
- 30Kim Yong-HakF
- 3Ye-Sung KimD
- 36H. KimM
- 37Jung Han-MinF
- 22K. Gwang-wonM
- 11Juninho RochaF
Form going into Kashima vs Pohang Steelers
Kashima
AFC Champions League Elite
- W1-0away to Công An Nhân Dân13 October 2026
- W7-1Newcastle Jets15 September 2026
Pohang Steelers
AFC Champions League Elite
- L0-2Johor Darul Takzim FC13 October 2026
- L1-3away to Beijing Guoan15 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kashima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 10 |
| 15 | Pohang Steelers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Kashima and Pohang Steelers
Kashima
GoalsAssists
- A. Čavrić40
- H. Tokuda21
Pohang Steelers
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kashima beat Pohang Steelers 3–0. The model had made a win for Kashima its most likely outcome, at 63%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Ryuta Koike 69' for Kashima, Aleksandar Čavrić 75' for Kashima, Matheus Bueno 87' for Kashima. On expected goals it finished 2.59–0.18.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.