Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-2 Sarmiento Junin.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, 30% draw, 33% Sarmiento Junin — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1L. BrueraG
- 6J. AntoniniD
- 2G. MaffiniD
- 31M. ValentiD
- 5A. CabreraM
- 14G. GonzalezM
- 8S. RosaneM
- 17G. AlanisM
- 23F. RodriguezM
- 22M. ValienteF
- 77I. HesarF
- 43A. LastraG
- 45R. LozanoD
- 3L. BanosD
- 28F. CobosD
- 29A. QuirogaD
- 13F. RomeroM
- 40F. Lo CelsoM
- 10T. GonzalezM
- 11M. GarneroneF
- 12T. AyalaG
- 20U. GimenezD
- 44R. OrihuelaD
- 2J. InsaurraldeD
- 3L. SuarezD
- 8S. SalleM
- 16M. MartinezM
- 15C. ZabalaM
- 21J. MavillaM
- 27J. MarabelF
- 24J. HerreraF
- 1I. ArboledaG
- 77N. PasquiniD
- 6G. ArturiaD
- 33G. DiazD
- 29T. SantamariaD
- 23E. GimenezM
- 10J. RenteriaM
- 17A. NadruzM
- 5M. GarciaM
Form going into Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Huracan29 August 2026
- D0-0San Lorenzo21 August 2026
- L0-1Atletico Tucuman17 August 2026
- L1-2away to Independiente Rivadavia8 August 2026
- D0-0Banfield1 August 2026
Sarmiento Junin
All competitions we cover
- L1-4away to Union Santa Fe28 August 2026
- W2-0Estudiantes La Plata23 August 2026
- W2-0Huracan16 August 2026
- W2-1away to Atletico Tucuman8 August 2026
- W2-1Independiente Rivadavia3 August 2026
What these results say
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto did not win any of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto had two goals or fewer.
- Sarmiento Junin scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Sarmiento Junin won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Sarmiento Junin
GoalsAssists
- J. Marabel145
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sarmiento Junin won 2–0 at Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. The model had leaned towards a win for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at 37% and given a win for Sarmiento Junin 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: G. Maffini (own goal) 6' for Sarmiento Junin, J. Marabel (penalty) 71' for Sarmiento Junin. On expected goals it finished 0.89–1.36.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.