Aalesund vs Start Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Aalesund 2-0 Start.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Aalesund, 28% draw, 32% Start — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Aalesund at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Aalesund vs Start
Line-ups
- 1Luca PodlechG
- 7K. NessøD
- 2M. AndresenD
- 28D. MbackeD
- 3Ó. GuðmundssonD
- 14U. CharlesD
- 21M. ChristensenM
- 18E. HagenM
- 19S. KartumM
- 27H. M. ReedF
- 8I. SkotheimF
- 45P. AuklandD
- 22E. EngqvistD
- 4S. HaramD
- 30S. K. KnutsenF
- 26T. LarsenG
- 17E. MyrlidF
- 16J. ØrsahlD
- 15E. OsenbrochM
- 38T. LeikangerM
- 45F. ManojlovićG
- 27O. ToureD
- 29E. ReitanD
- 28J. HusebøD
- 3A. UjkaniD
- 12D. DashaevD
- 10S. MvouéM
- 23E. SegbergM
- 11E. SchulzeM
- 17J. CorneliusF
- 9N. KoutsakosF
- 5S. GranheimD
- 8N. JojićF
- 20H. LorentzenF
- 4J. MeyerD
- 2F. PålerudD
- 24S. Strand-KolbjørnsenG
- 18M. UglandM
- 35S. SamuyiwaM
- 13S. GriesbeckM
Form going into Aalesund vs Start
Aalesund
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Viking30 August 2026
- D5-5Valerenga16 August 2026
- D1-1away to Ham-Kam9 August 2026
- L2-6Tromso2 August 2026
- D1-1Viking26 July 2026
Start
All competitions we cover
- W4-1KFUM Oslo30 August 2026
- L0-1Fredrikstad8 August 2026
- L0-3Viking1 August 2026
- W2-1away to Kristiansund BK25 July 2026
- L0-3Rosenborg18 July 2026
What these results say
- Aalesund did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Aalesund scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Aalesund conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Start conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Start had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Aalesund | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 24 |
| 16 | Start | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 59 | -32 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Aalesund vs Start
- 21 March 2026Start 1–1 AalesundEliteserien
- 23 August 2025Start 3–1 Aalesund1. Division
- 24 May 2025Aalesund 1–1 Start1. Division
- 21 October 2024Aalesund 3–1 Start1. Division
- 6 April 2024Start 1–3 Aalesund1. Division
Leading scorers: Aalesund and Start
Aalesund
GoalsAssists
- M. Christensen116
- H. M. Reed83
Start
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 27 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Aalesund beat Start 2–0. The model had made a win for Aalesund its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Elias Kristoffersen Hagen 20' for Aalesund, Mathias Christensen 24' for Aalesund.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.