Everton de Vina
vs
O'Higgins
Primera División prediction
Our model says: Everton de Vina 2–1 O'Higgins
The model makes it 52% Everton de Vina, 25% draw, 23% O'Higgins — fair odds of 1.92, 4.00 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Everton de Vina 1.95, O'Higgins 1.14.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Everton de Vina's rating is built from 56 Chilean Primera División matches and O'Higgins's from 57, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 693 matches.
Key facts
- Everton de Vina are 5th on 40 points from 27 games; O'Higgins are 12th on 31 points from 27 games — Primera División.
- Everton de Vina are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Concepción.
- O'Higgins have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Universidad de Concepcion.
- Last 6 meetings: O'Higgins 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 31 May 2026, ended O'Higgins 2–3 Everton de Vina.
More Chilean Primera División predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Everton de Vina vs O'Higgins
Has the model earned this number?
Everton de Vina at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Everton de Vina vs O'Higgins
Everton de Vina
Primera División
- L0-2Concepción7 November 2026
- D2-2away to Cobresal1 November 2026
- L1-4away to Universidad de Chile26 October 2026
- W3-2Deportes La Serena11 October 2026
- W3-1away to Nublense12 September 2026
O'Higgins
Primera División
- L2-3away to Universidad de Concepcion8 November 2026
- W1-0Nublense31 October 2026
- D1-1Cobresal24 October 2026
- L0-2away to Huachipato10 October 2026
- L0-1away to Audax Italiano13 September 2026
What these results say
- Everton de Vina conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Everton de Vina scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Everton de Vina had three goals or more.
- O'Higgins failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- O'Higgins conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for O'Higgins had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Chile Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 40 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Everton de Vina vs O'Higgins
- 31 May 2026O'Higgins 2–3 Everton de VinaPrimera División
- 11 May 2026O'Higgins 2–1 Everton de VinaCopa De La Liga
- 26 March 2026Everton de Vina 1–2 O'HigginsCopa De La Liga
- 6 December 2025O'Higgins 1–0 Everton de VinaPrimera División
- 23 June 2025Everton de Vina 0–1 O'HigginsPrimera División
- 3 August 2024Everton de Vina 1–1 O'HigginsPrimera División
Leading scorers: Everton de Vina and O'Higgins
Everton de Vina
GoalsAssists
- A. Medina123
O'Higgins
GoalsAssists
- A. Castillo90
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Everton de Vina the highest probability at 52%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.95 expected goals for Everton de Vina against 1.14 for O'Higgins. Everton de Vina's attack/defence rating is 0.71/1.62 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.64 for O'Higgins.
How the model reaches 52% for Everton de Vina to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Everton de Vina to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, Everton de Vina's ratings add 4 points and O'Higgins's ratings add 3 points, which lands on the published 52%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage45%+8
- Everton de Vina's ratings49%+4
- O'Higgins's ratings52%+3
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Everton de Vina at home · O'Higgins away
League matches only, Primera División, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Primera División matches this season: Everton de Vina 26, O'Higgins 27.
Everton de Vina score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); O'Higgins have let in 11 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
Next match, by difficulty
Everton de Vina
- at Palestino6 Dec · Primera Divisiónwin 28%
O'Higgins
- vs Coquimbo Unido6 Dec · Primera Divisiónwin 34%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.