Gent vs Standard Liege Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Gent 2-1 Standard Liege.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Gent, 27% draw, 21% Standard Liege — fair odds of 1.92, 3.70 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Gent at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gent vs Standard Liege
Line-ups
- 33D. RoefG
- 5M. NgomD
- 16C. BurgessD
- 44S. Van der HeydenD
- 57M. VolckaertM
- 27T. De VliegerM
- 17M. Delorge-KnieperM
- 20Tiago AraújoM
- 7M. BalikwishaM
- 11M. SonkoM
- 47J. Y. Vergara OrtegaF
- 45B. GooreF
- 37A. KadriM
- 3M. PaskotšiD
- 30K. PeersmanG
- 59E. SeckF
- 14Kyrell WilsonF
- 22Leonardo LopesM
- 75I. CisseF
- 39A. AyindéD
- 1M. EpoloG
- 13M. FosseyD
- 20I. KaramokoD
- 25I. HautekietD
- 18H. LawrenceD
- 94C. NielsenM
- 22A. TrouilletM
- 84R. TouzgharM
- 15S. DrammehF
- 10D. Eckert AyensaF
- 11A. AbidF
- 29D. DierckxD
- 17Bernard NgueneF
- 77B. NsimbaF
- 21L. PirardG
- 9A. ZeqiriF
- 23M. IlaimaharitraM
- 80R. FossoM
- 19S. JasperM
- 7T. MohrM
Form going into Gent vs Standard Liege
Gent
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Genk13 September 2026
- W3-0away to Cercle Brugge6 September 2026
- W1-0OH Leuven3 September 2026
- W2-1Club Brugge KV30 August 2026
- W3-2away to Hibernian27 August 2026
Standard Liege
All competitions we cover
- L2-4away to KVC Westerlo12 September 2026
- W1-0Antwerp5 September 2026
- W2-1away to OH Leuven29 August 2026
- W2-0RAAL La Louvière21 August 2026
- D3-3away to KV Mechelen16 August 2026
What these results say
- Gent went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Gent scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Gent won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Standard Liege scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gent | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 6 | +14 | 28 |
| 8 | Standard Liege | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gent vs Standard Liege
- 23 January 2026Standard Liege 0–4 GentJupiler Pro League
- 25 October 2025Gent 4–0 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
- 22 December 2024Standard Liege 0–1 GentJupiler Pro League
- 10 November 2024Gent 5–0 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
- 18 May 2024Standard Liege 1–4 GentJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Gent and Standard Liege
Gent
GoalsAssists
- I. Cisse40
Standard Liege
GoalsAssists
- D. Eckert Ayensa71
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gent beat Standard Liege 2–1. The model had made a win for Gent its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Josue Vergara 31' for Gent, Casper Nielsen 45+3' for Standard Liege, Christian Burgess 83' for Gent.
How the call on Gent v Standard Liege has moved
First published on 4 Sep at 49% / 28% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 52% / 27% / 21%: the biggest move is Gent's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Gent win52%▲ +3
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Standard Liege win21%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.