Jupiler Pro League predictions & fixtures

Friday 20 November — 1 match

19:45 UTC Cercle Brugge vs KVC Westerlo — model 52% / 21% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.92 · 4.76 · 3.70. Evenly matched

Saturday 21 November — 4 matches

15:00 UTC Charleroi vs St. Truiden — model 49% / 25% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.04 · 4.00 · 3.85. Evenly matched
17:15 UTC Genk vs RAAL La Louvière — model 57% / 25% / 18%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.75 · 4.00 · 5.56. Edge: Genk
19:45 UTC KV Mechelen vs Club Brugge KV — model 16% / 21% / 63%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 6.25 · 4.76 · 1.59. One-sided: Club Brugge KV
19:45 UTC Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp — model 42% / 27% / 31%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.38 · 3.70 · 3.23. Evenly matched

Sunday 22 November — 4 matches

12:30 UTC SK Beveren vs Gent — model 21% / 26% / 53%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.76 · 3.85 · 1.89. One-sided: Gent
15:00 UTC Kortrijk vs Union St. Gilloise — model 10% / 21% / 69%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 10.00 · 4.76 · 1.45. One-sided: Union St. Gilloise
17:30 UTC Anderlecht vs OH Leuven — model 50% / 28% / 22%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.57 · 4.55. Edge: Anderlecht
18:15 UTC Lommel United vs Standard Liege — model 47% / 28% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.13 · 3.57 · 4.00. Evenly matched

Friday 27 November — 1 match

19:45 UTC OH Leuven vs Kortrijk — model 56% / 27% / 17%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.79 · 3.70 · 5.88. One-sided: OH Leuven

Saturday 28 November — 4 matches

15:00 UTC KVC Westerlo vs RAAL La Louvière — model 55% / 22% / 23%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.82 · 4.55 · 4.35. Edge: KVC Westerlo
17:15 UTC Cercle Brugge vs KV Mechelen — model 52% / 24% / 24%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.92 · 4.17 · 4.17. Edge: Cercle Brugge
19:45 UTC Lommel United vs Zulte Waregem — model 55% / 25% / 20%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.82 · 4.00 · 5.00. Edge: Lommel United
19:45 UTC Charleroi vs SK Beveren — model 65% / 20% / 15%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.54 · 5.00 · 6.67. One-sided: Charleroi

Sunday 29 November — 4 matches

12:30 UTC St. Truiden vs Genk — model 42% / 27% / 31%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.38 · 3.70 · 3.23. Evenly matched
15:00 UTC Antwerp vs Anderlecht — model 33% / 28% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.03 · 3.57 · 2.56. Edge: Anderlecht
17:30 UTC Standard Liege vs Club Brugge KV — model 21% / 25% / 54%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.76 · 4.00 · 1.85. One-sided: Club Brugge KV
18:15 UTC Union St. Gilloise vs Gent — model 49% / 29% / 22%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.04 · 3.45 · 4.55. Edge: Union St. Gilloise

Last round: the model's hits and misses

6–8 November: the model called the result of 6 of 9 matches. Across all 99 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 59% of results.

Standard Liege 3–0 SK Beveren — the model said 49% / 26% / 25%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
KVC Westerlo 1–5 Charleroi — the model said 39% / 25% / 36%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
OH Leuven 2–0 KV Mechelen — the model said 40% / 29% / 31%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
Antwerp 2–2 Lommel United — the model said 31% / 29% / 40%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
RAAL La Louvière 0–1 Cercle Brugge — the model said 34% / 24% / 42%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
Club Brugge KV 1–1 Anderlecht — the model said 67% / 19% / 14%, most likely 2-0: result missed.
Gent 1–0 Kortrijk — the model said 73% / 19% / 8%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
Union St. Gilloise 1–0 Genk — the model said 59% / 25% / 16%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
St. Truiden 4–1 Zulte Waregem — the model said 49% / 25% / 26%, most likely 2-1: result correct.

Jupiler Pro League so far

Top of the table

1. Union St. Gilloise — 29 pts from 11 (9W 2D 0L, goals 30–7)
2. Club Brugge KV — 28 pts from 11 (9W 1D 1L, goals 27–9)
3. Gent — 28 pts from 11 (9W 1D 1L, goals 20–6)
4. Charleroi — 27 pts from 11 (9W 0D 2L, goals 26–13)
5. Anderlecht — 20 pts from 11 (6W 2D 3L, goals 14–12)

The model's chance of finishing first in the regular season, from 10,000 simulations of the 207 matches left: Club Brugge KV 51.2%, Union St. Gilloise 39.3%, Gent 7.5%.

Leading scorers: N. Tresoldi (Club Brugge KV) 8 goals, N. Bassette (KVC Westerlo) 8 goals, D. Eckert Ayensa (Standard Liege) 7 goals.