18 September 2026, 17:30 UTC

Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved NB I prediction & result

Pancho Arena
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Puskas Academy 3-1 Budapest Honved.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Puskas Academy, 30% draw, 34% Budapest Honved — fair odds of 2.78, 3.33 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Puskas Academy at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Puskas Academy99%Draw1%Budapest Honved0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽András Némethassist: Palkó Dárdai
16'
⚽Roland Orjanassist: Zsolt Nagy
24'
31'
Tamás Somogyi
38'
⚽Kevin Kállai
Roland Orjan
41'
45'
🔁Reda Eddarrajout: Pablo García Ruiz
⚽Palkó Dárdaiassist: Martin Kern
66'
67'
🔁Tamás Somogyiout: Kevin Sydney Kantor
67'
🔁Á. Somogyiout: I. Pekár
67'
🔁Kevin Kállaiout: Branko Pauljević
70'
Branko Pauljević
🔁András Némethout: Lamin Colley
73'
76'
Kevin Sydney Kantor
🔁Palkó Dárdaiout: Bence vekony
77'
Wojciech Golla
84'
🔁Roland Orjanout: Z. Varga
87'
🔁Zsolt Nagyout: Bendegúz Farkas
87'
🔁Michael okekeout: Daniel Brügger
87'
88'
🔁Ádám Szamosiout: Alex Szabó

Match stats — Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved

52%Possession48%
16Shots17
5On target5
9Corners5

Line-ups

Puskas Academy 4-4-2
  • 72B. LehoczkiG
  • 96R. OrjánD
  • 14W. GollaD
  • 21G. HarutyunyanD
  • 33B. Ormonde-OttewillD
  • 10P. DárdaiM
  • 4Michael OkekeM
  • 74M. KernM
  • 25Z. NagyM
  • 90A. NémethF
  • 8D. LukacsF
Substitutes
  • 9L. ColleyF
  • 88B. FarkasD
  • 1T. MarkekG
  • 18B. VekonyM
  • 68Daniel BruggerM
  • 66Z. VargaM
  • 42Z. KrupaM
  • 61M. BozoG
  • 77K. MondovicsF
Coach: L. Babó
Budapest Honved 4-2-3-1
  • 31O. HadžikićG
  • 72K. KallaiD
  • 44Á. BakiD
  • 52D. BoldorD
  • 11S. HangyaD
  • 5D. CsontosM
  • 8T. SomogyiM
  • 30T. SomogyiM
  • 40Adam SzamosiM
  • 80R. EddarrajM
  • 19A. AlićF
Substitutes
  • 15Bonifac CsonkaD
  • 1G. DúzsG
  • 49B. PauljevićD
  • 33O. SafronovD
  • 4A. SzabóD
  • 83T. TujvelG
  • 7A. ZuigeberF
  • 20P. GarciaM
  • 3P. GarciaD
Coach: M. Jacobacci

Form going into Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved

Puskas Academy

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Zalaegerszegi TE6 September 2026
  • L1-2Ferencvarosi TC30 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Vasas22 August 2026
  • W3-2Paks16 August 2026
  • W3-2away to MTK Budapest7 August 2026

Budapest Honved

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3away to Gyori ETO FC6 September 2026
  • W1-0Zalaegerszegi TE29 August 2026
  • L1-2Vasas14 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Paks9 August 2026
  • D3-3MTK Budapest1 August 2026

What these results say

  • Puskas Academy scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Puskas Academy conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Budapest Honved scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Budapest Honved failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Budapest Honved conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Puskas Academy138051815+324
8Budapest Honved123541619-314

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved

  • 27 May 2023Puskas Academy 2–1 Budapest HonvedNB I
  • 5 March 2023Budapest Honved 3–1 Puskas AcademyNB I
  • 15 October 2022Puskas Academy 1–0 Budapest HonvedNB I
  • 15 May 2022Puskas Academy 1–2 Budapest HonvedNB I
  • 26 February 2022Budapest Honved 0–0 Puskas AcademyNB I

Leading scorers: Puskas Academy and Budapest Honved

Puskas Academy

GoalsAssists

  • A. Németh52
  • P. Dárdai32

Budapest Honved

No player in NB I's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Puskas Academy beat Budapest Honved 3–1. The model had made a win for Puskas Academy its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: András Németh 16' for Puskas Academy, Roland Orjan 24' for Puskas Academy, Kevin Kállai 38' for Budapest Honved, Palkó Dárdai 66' for Puskas Academy.

How the call on Puskas Academy v Budapest Honved has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 42% / 31% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 36% / 30% / 34%: the biggest move is Budapest Honved's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. Puskas Academy win36%▼ −6
  2. Draw30%▼ −1
  3. Budapest Honved win34%▲ +7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.