Grasshoppers vs FC Lugano Super League prediction & result
Final score: Grasshoppers 1-4 FC Lugano.
Before kick-off the model made it 17% Grasshoppers, 23% draw, 60% FC Lugano — fair odds of 5.88, 4.35 and 1.67.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
FC Lugano at 60%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Grasshoppers vs FC Lugano
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 71Justin HammelG
- 28Simone StroscioD
- 73Dorian PaloschiD
- 4Luka MikulicD
- 57Nico RissiD
- 5Hassane ImouraneM
- 8Tim MeyerM
- 6Amir AbrashiM
- 7Luke PlangeF
- 9Nikolas MuciF
- 17Samuel KrasniqiF
- 10Óscar ClementeM
- 15Abdoulaye DiabyD
- 23Samuel MarquesM
- 60Samuele BengondoF
- 14Alieu ConatehF
- 1Marvin HübelG
- 22Pantaleo CretiD
- 55Dominik PapicM
- 56Denis SahinM
- 16David von BallmoosG
- 46Mattia ZanottiD
- 6Antonios PapadopoulosD
- 17Lars Lukas MaiD
- 18Joel BichselD
- 7Ezgjan AlioskiD
- 25Uran BislimiM
- 8Anto GrgićM
- 27Daniel Dos SantosM
- 11Renato SteffenF
- 30Dereck MoncadaF
- 21Yanis CimignaniM
- 91Kevin BehrensF
- 24Elias PihlströmF
- 3Hannes DelcroixD
- 14Ahmed KendouciM
- 28Felix GebhardtG
- 4Damian KelvinD
- 22Beckham CastroF
- 23Gjan AjdinM
Form going into Grasshoppers vs FC Lugano
Grasshoppers
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Lausanne25 July 2026
FC Lugano
All competitions we cover
- W5-1away to Dukagjini29 July 2026
- W2-1FC Vaduz26 July 2026
- W1-0Dukagjini23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Switzerland Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
| 1 | FC Lugano | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 15 | +21 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Grasshoppers vs FC Lugano
- 1 March 2026Grasshoppers 1–0 FC LuganoSuper League
- 31 January 2026Grasshoppers 1–1 FC LuganoSuper League
- 27 September 2025FC Lugano 2–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 8 February 2025FC Lugano 1–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 31 October 2024Grasshoppers 1–1 FC LuganoSuper League
Leading scorers: Grasshoppers and FC Lugano
Grasshoppers
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
FC Lugano
GoalsAssists
- Daniel Dos Santos51
- D. Moncada51
- Y. Cimignani40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Lugano won 4–1 at Grasshoppers. The model had made a win for FC Lugano its most likely outcome, at 60%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Luke Plange 22' for Grasshoppers, Dereck Moncada 52' for FC Lugano, Yanis Cimignani 71' for FC Lugano, Elias Pihlström 78' for FC Lugano, Yanis Cimignani 90+2' for FC Lugano. On expected goals it finished 1.83–2.13.