FC Sion vs FC Luzern Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Sion 3-0 FC Luzern.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% FC Sion, 22% draw, 21% FC Luzern — fair odds of 1.75, 4.55 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FC Sion at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Sion vs FC Luzern
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Anthony RacioppiG
- 14Numa LavanchyD
- 5Noé SowD
- 17Jan KronigD
- 20Nias HeftiD
- 7Ylyas ChouarefM
- 88Ali KabacalmanM
- 8BaltazarM
- 77Donat RrudhaniM
- 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
- 33Rilind NivokaziF
- 29Théo BerdayesF
- 9Josias LukembilaF
- 19Franck SurdezF
- 37Fode SyllaM
- 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
- 12Francesco RubertoG
- 21Liam Scott ChipperfieldM
- 38Ryan KesslerD
- 22Adrien LlukesM
- 1Simon SimoniG
- 20Pius DornD
- 5Stefan KneževićD
- 21Loïc LüthiD
- 22Rúben DantasD
- 24Tyron OwusuM
- 6Leonardo BertoneM
- 10Lucas SilvaM
- 11Matteo Di GiustoM
- 71Sascha MeyerF
- 16Oscar KabwitF
- 80Mio ZimmermannM
- 27Lars VilligerF
- 14Andrejs CigaņiksD
- 7Aurelio OehlersF
- 13Bung Hua FreimannD
- 63Raphael RadtkeG
- 3Jesper LofgrenD
- 28Ronaldo Dantas FernandesM
- 15Nando ToggenburgerF
Form going into FC Sion vs FC Luzern
FC Sion
All competitions we cover
- W4-0Bate Borisov30 July 2026
- L2-4away to BSC Young Boys26 July 2026
- D1-1away to Bate Borisov23 July 2026
FC Luzern
All competitions we cover
- L1-3FC Thun25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Switzerland Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Sion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 18 | +11 | 26 |
| 9 | FC Luzern | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Sion vs FC Luzern
- 7 February 2026FC Sion 0–0 FC LuzernSuper League
- 24 January 2026FC Sion 1–1 FC LuzernSuper League
- 4 October 2025FC Luzern 3–3 FC SionSuper League
- 23 February 2025FC Luzern 2–1 FC SionSuper League
- 10 November 2024FC Sion 4–2 FC LuzernSuper League
Leading scorers: FC Sion and FC Luzern
FC Sion
GoalsAssists
- Winsley Boteli Mokango64
- R. Nivokazi50
FC Luzern
GoalsAssists
- D. Mikołajewski43
- M. Di Giusto43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Sion beat FC Luzern 3–0. The model had made a win for FC Sion its most likely outcome, at 57%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Donat Rrudhani 9' for FC Sion, Théo Berdayes 70' for FC Sion, Josias Lukembila 77' for FC Sion. Sent off: Tyron Owusu (FC Luzern) 3'. On expected goals it finished 2.83–0.50.