Swiss Super League predictions & fixtures

Saturday 21 November — 3 matches

17:00 UTC BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun — model 64% / 17% / 19%, most likely 3-1, fair odds 1.56 · 5.88 · 5.26. Edge: BSC Young Boys
17:00 UTC FC Lugano vs Grasshoppers — model 72% / 18% / 10%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.39 · 5.56 · 10.00. One-sided: FC Lugano
19:30 UTC FC Sion vs Servette FC — model 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.57 · 4.17. Edge: FC Sion

Sunday 22 November — 3 matches

13:00 UTC FC Zurich vs FC St. Gallen — model 33% / 26% / 41%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.03 · 3.85 · 2.44. Edge: FC St. Gallen
15:30 UTC FC Basel 1893 vs FC Luzern — model 40% / 26% / 34%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.85 · 2.94. Evenly matched
15:30 UTC Lausanne vs FC Vaduz — model 33% / 26% / 41%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.03 · 3.85 · 2.44. Edge: FC Vaduz

Saturday 28 November — 3 matches

17:00 UTC FC Vaduz vs FC Zurich — model 45% / 24% / 31%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 4.17 · 3.23. Evenly matched
17:00 UTC Grasshoppers vs FC Basel 1893 — model 34% / 27% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.70 · 2.56. Edge: FC Basel 1893
19:30 UTC Servette FC vs Lausanne — model 55% / 26% / 19%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.82 · 3.85 · 5.26. Edge: Servette FC

Sunday 29 November — 3 matches

13:00 UTC FC Luzern vs FC Lugano — model 26% / 24% / 50%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.85 · 4.17 · 2.00. One-sided: FC Lugano
15:30 UTC FC Sion vs BSC Young Boys — model 46% / 24% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 4.17 · 3.33. Evenly matched
15:30 UTC FC Thun vs FC St. Gallen — model 36% / 23% / 41%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.78 · 4.35 · 2.44. Edge: FC St. Gallen

Last round: the model's hits and misses

7–8 November: the model called the result of 2 of 6 matches. Across all 78 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 49% of results.

FC Luzern 2–3 BSC Young Boys — the model said 33% / 22% / 45%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
FC Vaduz 0–4 FC Sion — the model said 35% / 25% / 40%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
Grasshoppers 1–1 Lausanne — the model said 41% / 28% / 31%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
FC St. Gallen 5–0 FC Lugano — the model said 24% / 26% / 50%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
Servette FC 0–0 FC Zurich — the model said 50% / 25% / 25%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
FC Thun 3–3 FC Basel 1893 — the model said 47% / 24% / 29%, most likely 2-1: result missed.

Swiss Super League so far

Top of the table

1. FC Lugano — 34 pts from 13 (11W 1D 1L, goals 36–15)
2. BSC Young Boys — 28 pts from 13 (8W 4D 1L, goals 41–25)
3. FC Sion — 26 pts from 13 (8W 2D 3L, goals 29–18)
4. FC St. Gallen — 22 pts from 13 (7W 1D 5L, goals 24–22)
5. FC Zurich — 21 pts from 13 (6W 3D 4L, goals 25–26)

The model's chance of finishing first in the regular season, from 10,000 simulations of the 54 matches left: FC Lugano 85%, BSC Young Boys 9.7%, FC Sion 5.1%.

Leading scorers: S. Essende (BSC Young Boys) 15 goals, Ž. Celar (FC Basel 1893) 8 goals, U. Emmanuel (FC Zurich) 6 goals.