IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 FK Crvena Zvezda.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% IMT Novi Beograd, 30% draw, 29% FK Crvena Zvezda — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
IMT Novi Beograd at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda
Line-ups
- 1O. ČančarevićG
- 2Julián DelmásD
- 5M. SissakoD
- 65S. ŠapićD
- 3Iván MartosD
- 29K. FabienM
- 22Vasilije NovicicM
- 14I. KebeM
- 20D. RadivojevicM
- 9A. MiticF
- 19T. CojicF
- 50Lazar CvijeticF
- 12Kadir GicicG
- 11Rafael JuninhoF
- 8L. LukovićF
- 27V. RadočajM
- 15A. SedlarD
- 18W. TiendrébéogoM
- 28A. MilanovicD
- 23D. AkrofiM
- 1MatheusG
- 3Y. NakayamaD
- 45S. GudeljD
- 32D. LuckassenD
- 21T. ElšnikM
- 60M. GashtarovM
- 14O. BukariM
- 70M. ChamM
- 22V. KostovM
- 4M. IvanićM
- 9B. DiengF
- 13M. VeljkovićD
- 27M. StrikaD
- 37V. LučićM
- 75L. LoizouF
- 20Tomás HändelM
- 8K. BalovF
- 50S. RadanovićG
- 6M. BajoM
- 7M. ArnautovićF
Form going into IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda
IMT Novi Beograd
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to OFK Beograd7 September 2026
- W2-0Mladost Lucani30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Radnicki 192322 August 2026
- D0-0Radnicki NIS16 August 2026
- L0-1away to Macva9 August 2026
FK Crvena Zvezda
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Radnik Surdulica10 September 2026
- W2-1FK Partizan6 September 2026
- W2-0away to Zemun30 August 2026
- L1-5away to Plzen27 August 2026
- W4-0Cukaricki23 August 2026
What these results say
- IMT Novi Beograd failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for IMT Novi Beograd had two goals or fewer.
- FK Crvena Zvezda scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serbia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | IMT Novi Beograd | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 23 |
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 6 | +32 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda
- 15 March 2026IMT Novi Beograd 1–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
- 19 October 2025FK Crvena Zvezda 6–1 IMT Novi BeogradSuper Liga
- 2 March 2025FK Crvena Zvezda 4–0 IMT Novi BeogradSuper Liga
- 6 October 2024IMT Novi Beograd 1–3 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
- 3 April 2024FK Crvena Zvezda 2–0 IMT Novi BeogradSuper Liga
Leading scorers: IMT Novi Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda
IMT Novi Beograd
GoalsAssists
- C. Keita32
FK Crvena Zvezda
GoalsAssists
- B. Dieng50
- V. Kostov43
- A. Katai34
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FK Crvena Zvezda won 1–0 at IMT Novi Beograd. The model had leaned towards a win for IMT Novi Beograd at 41% and given a win for FK Crvena Zvezda 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Vasilije Kostov 31' for FK Crvena Zvezda.
How the call on IMT Novi Beograd v FK Crvena Zvezda has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 32% / 30% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 41% / 30% / 29%: the biggest move is IMT Novi Beograd's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- IMT Novi Beograd win41%▲ +9
- Draw30%=
- FK Crvena Zvezda win29%▼ −9
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.