IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 FK Crvena Zvezda.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% IMT Novi Beograd, 30% draw, 29% FK Crvena Zvezda — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts IMT Novi Beograd at 41% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda
Line-ups
- 1O. ČančarevićG
- 2Julián DelmásD
- 5M. SissakoD
- 65S. ŠapićD
- 3Iván MartosD
- 29K. FabienM
- 22Vasilije NovicicM
- 14I. KebeM
- 20D. RadivojevicM
- 9A. MiticF
- 19T. CojicF
- 50Lazar CvijeticF
- 12Kadir GicicG
- 11Rafael JuninhoF
- 8L. LukovićF
- 27V. RadočajM
- 15A. SedlarD
- 18W. TiendrébéogoM
- 28A. MilanovicD
- 23D. AkrofiM
- 1MatheusG
- 3Y. NakayamaD
- 45S. GudeljD
- 32D. LuckassenD
- 21T. ElšnikM
- 60M. GashtarovM
- 14O. BukariM
- 70M. ChamM
- 22V. KostovM
- 4M. IvanićM
- 9B. DiengF
- 13M. VeljkovićD
- 27M. StrikaD
- 37V. LučićM
- 75L. LoizouF
- 20Tomás HändelM
- 8K. BalovF
- 50S. RadanovićG
- 6M. BajoM
- 7M. ArnautovićF
Form going into IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda
IMT Novi Beograd
- D1-1away to OFK Beograd7 September 2026
- W2-0Mladost Lucani30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Radnicki 192322 August 2026
- D0-0Radnicki NIS16 August 2026
FK Crvena Zvezda
- D0-0away to Radnik Surdulica10 September 2026
- W2-1FK Partizan6 September 2026
- W2-0away to Zemun30 August 2026
- W4-0Cukaricki23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | IMT Novi Beograd | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 14 |
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda
- 13 September 2026IMT Novi Beograd 0–1 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
- 15 March 2026IMT Novi Beograd 1–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
- 19 October 2025FK Crvena Zvezda 6–1 IMT Novi BeogradSuper Liga
- 2 March 2025FK Crvena Zvezda 4–0 IMT Novi BeogradSuper Liga
- 6 October 2024IMT Novi Beograd 1–3 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
- 3 April 2024FK Crvena Zvezda 2–0 IMT Novi BeogradSuper Liga
Leading scorers: IMT Novi Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda
IMT Novi Beograd
- T. Cojic2 goals2 assists
- C. Keita2 goals1 assists
FK Crvena Zvezda
- V. Kostov4 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.