4 September 2026, 19:00 UTC

Ipswich vs Liverpool Premier League prediction & result

Portman Road, Ipswich
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Ipswich 0-2 Liverpool.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Ipswich, 28% draw, 32% Liverpool — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Ipswich at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ipswich0%Draw1%Liverpool99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
⚽Alexander Isakassist: Cody Gakpo
9'
⚽Alexander Isakassist: Cody Gakpo
10'
Alexis Mac Allister
Julio Enciso
41'
52'
Jérémy Jacquet
57'
Milos Kerkez
64'
🔁Alexander Isakout: Ryan Gravenberch
64'
🔁Víctor Muñozout: Bradley Barcola
🔁Daizen Maedaout: Jack Clarke
66'
🔁Emersonnout: Zian Flemming
66'
69'
•Dominik Szoboszlai
🔁Exequiel Palaciosout: Abdoul Ouattara
78'
🔁Abdul Fatawu Issahakuout: Kasey McAteer
79'
84'
🔁Alexis Mac Allisterout: Treymaurice Nyoni
90+1'
🔁Florian Wirtzout: Lewis Koumas

Match stats — Ipswich vs Liverpool

45%Possession55%
14Shots10
5On target7
4Corners3

Line-ups

Ipswich 4-2-3-1
  • 37K. ScherpenG
  • 26D. O'SheaD
  • 6I. DiopD
  • 24J. GreavesD
  • 3L. DavisD
  • 23S. LukićM
  • 25E. PalaciosM
  • 7A. FatawuM
  • 10J. EncisoM
  • 38D. MaedaM
  • 19EmersonnF
Substitutes
  • 20K. McAteerM
  • 32M. NúñezM
  • 12FlorentinoM
  • 42A. OuattaraD
  • 4C. KipréD
  • 2D. FurlongD
  • 28C. WaltonG
  • 47J. ClarkeF
  • 9Z. FlemmingF
Coach: G. O'Neil
Liverpool 4-2-3-1
  • 1Alisson BeckerG
  • 33R. AraújoD
  • 5J. JacquetD
  • 4V. van DijkD
  • 6M. KerkezD
  • 8D. SzoboszlaiM
  • 10A. Mac AllisterM
  • 23Víctor MuñozM
  • 7F. WirtzM
  • 18C. GakpoM
  • 9A. IsakF
Substitutes
  • 67L. KoumasF
  • 25G. MamardashviliG
  • 21K. TsimikasD
  • 30J. FrimpongD
  • 3W. EndoM
  • 38R. GravenberchM
  • 42T. NyoniM
  • 29B. BarcolaF
  • 73R. NgumohaF
Coach: Andoni Iraola

Form going into Ipswich vs Liverpool

Ipswich

  • L2-5away to Manchester United30 August 2026
  • W2-1Sunderland22 August 2026

Liverpool

  • D2-2Nottingham Forest29 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Newcastle23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Ipswich4202710-36
8Liverpool413064+26

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ipswich vs Liverpool

  • 4 September 2026Ipswich 0–2 LiverpoolPremier League
  • 25 January 2025Liverpool 4–1 IpswichPremier League
  • 17 August 2024Ipswich 0–2 LiverpoolPremier League

Leading scorers: Ipswich and Liverpool

Ipswich

  • Emersonn2 goals1 assists
  • L. Davis2 goals1 assists

Liverpool

  • A. Isak3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.