4 September 2026, 19:00 UTC

Ipswich vs Liverpool Premier League prediction & result

Portman Road, Ipswich
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Ipswich 0-2 Liverpool.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Ipswich, 28% draw, 32% Liverpool — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Ipswich at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ipswich0%Draw1%Liverpool99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
⚽Alexander Isakassist: Cody Gakpo
9'
⚽Alexander Isakassist: Cody Gakpo
10'
Alexis Mac Allister
Julio Enciso
41'
52'
Jérémy Jacquet
57'
Milos Kerkez
64'
🔁Alexander Isakout: Ryan Gravenberch
64'
🔁Víctor Muñozout: Bradley Barcola
🔁Daizen Maedaout: Jack Clarke
66'
🔁Emersonnout: Zian Flemming
66'
69'
•Dominik Szoboszlai
🔁Exequiel Palaciosout: Abdoul Ouattara
78'
🔁Abdul Fatawu Issahakuout: Kasey McAteer
79'
84'
🔁Alexis Mac Allisterout: Treymaurice Nyoni
90+1'
🔁Florian Wirtzout: Lewis Koumas

Match stats — Ipswich vs Liverpool

45%Possession55%
14Shots10
5On target7
4Corners3

Line-ups

Ipswich 4-2-3-1
  • 37K. ScherpenG
  • 26D. O'SheaD
  • 6I. DiopD
  • 24J. GreavesD
  • 3L. DavisD
  • 23S. LukićM
  • 25E. PalaciosM
  • 7A. FatawuM
  • 10J. EncisoM
  • 38D. MaedaM
  • 19EmersonnF
Substitutes
  • 20K. McAteerM
  • 32M. NúñezM
  • 12FlorentinoM
  • 42A. OuattaraD
  • 4C. KipréD
  • 2D. FurlongD
  • 28C. WaltonG
  • 47J. ClarkeF
  • 9Z. FlemmingF
Coach: G. O'Neil
Liverpool 4-2-3-1
  • 1Alisson BeckerG
  • 33R. AraújoD
  • 5J. JacquetD
  • 4V. van DijkD
  • 6M. KerkezD
  • 8D. SzoboszlaiM
  • 10A. Mac AllisterM
  • 23Víctor MuñozM
  • 7F. WirtzM
  • 18C. GakpoM
  • 9A. IsakF
Substitutes
  • 67L. KoumasF
  • 25G. MamardashviliG
  • 21K. TsimikasD
  • 30J. FrimpongD
  • 3W. EndoM
  • 38R. GravenberchM
  • 42T. NyoniM
  • 29B. BarcolaF
  • 73R. NgumohaF
Coach: Andoni Iraola

Form going into Ipswich vs Liverpool

Ipswich

All competitions we cover

  • L2-5away to Manchester United30 August 2026
  • W2-1Sunderland22 August 2026

Liverpool

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Nottingham Forest29 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Newcastle23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Ipswich103251520-511
4Liverpool105321410+418

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ipswich vs Liverpool

  • 25 January 2025Liverpool 4–1 IpswichPremier League
  • 17 August 2024Ipswich 0–2 LiverpoolPremier League

Leading scorers: Ipswich and Liverpool

Ipswich

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.

Liverpool

GoalsAssists

  • A. Isak70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Liverpool won 2–0 at Ipswich. The model had leaned towards a win for Ipswich at 40% and given a win for Liverpool 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Alexander Isak 6' for Liverpool, Alexander Isak 9' for Liverpool.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.