Komárno
vs
Žilina
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Komárno 0–1 Žilina
The model makes it 31% Komárno, 28% draw, 41% Žilina — fair odds of 3.23, 3.57 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Komárno 1.21, Žilina 1.47.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Edge to Žilina: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Komárno's rating is built from 46 Slovak Super Liga matches and Žilina's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Komárno are 9th on 13 points from 14 games; Žilina are 3rd on 28 points from 14 games — Super Liga.
- Komárno are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Zemplín Michalovce.
- Žilina are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 4-2 win away to Skalica.
- Last 6 meetings: Žilina 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 23 August 2026, ended Žilina 2–1 Komárno.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Komárno vs Žilina
Has the model earned this number?
Žilina at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Komárno vs Žilina
Komárno
Super Liga
- W2-0Zemplín Michalovce8 November 2026
- W2-1away to Spartak Trnava31 October 2026
- D0-0AS Trencin25 October 2026
- L0-1Ružomberok17 October 2026
- D1-1away to FK Košice10 October 2026
Žilina
Super Liga
- W4-2away to Skalica7 November 2026
- W4-1Zemplín Michalovce31 October 2026
- D2-2away to FK Košice25 October 2026
- L2-3Dunajska Streda18 October 2026
- D2-2away to Ružomberok11 October 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Komárno had two goals or fewer.
- Žilina scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Žilina conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Žilina had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Komárno | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
| 3 | Žilina | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 27 | +10 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Komárno
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 30% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Komárno vs Žilina
- 23 August 2026Žilina 2–1 KomárnoSuper Liga
- 8 February 2026Žilina 1–0 KomárnoSuper Liga
- 21 September 2025Komárno 1–3 ŽilinaSuper Liga
- 25 February 2025Komárno 1–0 ŽilinaSuper Liga
- 29 September 2024Žilina 2–1 KomárnoSuper Liga
- 9 March 2022Žilina 2–1 KomárnoCup
Leading scorers: Komárno and Žilina
Komárno
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Žilina
GoalsAssists
- M. Faško61
- T. Hranica31
- D. Homet Ruiz30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Komárno a 0% chance of the title and Žilina 0.6%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Žilina the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.21 expected goals for Komárno against 1.47 for Žilina. Komárno's attack/defence rating is 0.41/1.42 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.86/1.82 for Žilina.
How the model reaches 41% for Žilina to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Žilina to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, Komárno's ratings add 4 points and Žilina's ratings add 8 points, which lands on the published 41%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Komárno's ratings33%+4
- Žilina's ratings41%+8
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Komárno at home · Žilina away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Komárno 14, Žilina 14.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Komárno
- vs Dukla Banská Bystrica5 Dec · Super Ligawin 42%
- at Skalica12 Dec · Super Ligawin 31%
- vs Podbrezová6 Feb · Super Ligawin 36%
- at Slovan Bratislava13 Feb · Super Ligawin 13%
Žilina
- vs Spartak Trnava5 Dec · Super Ligawin 45%
- at Podbrezová12 Dec · Super Ligawin 36%
- vs Slovan Bratislava6 Feb · Super Ligawin 37%
- at AS Trencin13 Feb · Super Ligawin 50%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.