Slovak Super Liga predictions

Saturday 21 November — 4 matches

• 14:30 UTC AS Trencin vs Podbrezová — model 31% / 27% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.23 · 3.70 · 2.38. Edge: Podbrezová
• 14:30 UTC Ružomberok vs Slovan Bratislava — model 18% / 25% / 57%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 5.56 · 4.00 · 1.75. One-sided: Slovan Bratislava
• 14:30 UTC Žilina vs Dukla Banská Bystrica — model 64% / 20% / 16%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.56 · 5.00 · 6.25. Edge: Žilina
• 17:00 UTC Zemplín Michalovce vs Spartak Trnava — model 27% / 28% / 45%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.70 · 3.57 · 2.22. One-sided: Spartak Trnava

Sunday 22 November — 2 matches

• 14:30 UTC FK Košice vs Skalica — model 61% / 22% / 17%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.64 · 4.55 · 5.88. Edge: FK Košice
• 17:00 UTC Dunajska Streda vs Komárno — model 68% / 22% / 10%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.47 · 4.55 · 10.00. One-sided: Dunajska Streda

Saturday 28 November — 4 matches

• 14:30 UTC Podbrezová vs Dunajska Streda — model 24% / 25% / 51%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.17 · 4.00 · 1.96. One-sided: Dunajska Streda
• 14:30 UTC Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Ružomberok — model 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.57 · 4.17. Evenly matched
• 14:30 UTC Komárno vs Žilina — model 31% / 28% / 41%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.23 · 3.57 · 2.44. Edge: Žilina
• 17:00 UTC Slovan Bratislava vs FK Košice — model 60% / 22% / 18%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.67 · 4.55 · 5.56. Edge: Slovan Bratislava

Sunday 29 November — 2 matches

• 14:30 UTC Skalica vs Zemplín Michalovce — model 41% / 30% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.33 · 3.45. Evenly matched
• 17:00 UTC Spartak Trnava vs AS Trencin — model 66% / 21% / 13%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.52 · 4.76 · 7.69. One-sided: Spartak Trnava

Last round: the model's hits and misses

7–8 November: the model called the result of 5 of 6 matches. Across all 32 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 50% of results.

• Dukla Banská Bystrica 1–2 Spartak Trnava — the model said 28% / 27% / 45%, most likely 0-1: result correct.
• Skalica 2–4 Žilina — the model said 28% / 25% / 47%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
• Slovan Bratislava 2–2 AS Trencin — the model said 76% / 16% / 8%, most likely 2-0: result missed.
• Dunajska Streda 3–2 FK Košice — the model said 70% / 18% / 12%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Podbrezová 4–1 Ružomberok — the model said 56% / 25% / 19%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Komárno 2–0 Zemplín Michalovce — the model said 41% / 32% / 27%, most likely 1-0: result correct.

Slovak Super Liga so far

Top of the table

• 1. Dunajska Streda — 38 pts from 14 (12W 2D 0L, goals 42–9)
• 2. Slovan Bratislava — 28 pts from 14 (8W 4D 2L, goals 32–15)
• 3. Žilina — 28 pts from 14 (8W 4D 2L, goals 37–27)
• 4. Spartak Trnava — 25 pts from 14 (7W 4D 3L, goals 28–18)
• 5. Podbrezová — 20 pts from 14 (6W 2D 6L, goals 23–24)

The model's chance of finishing first in the regular season, from 10,000 simulations of the 48 matches left: Dunajska Streda 97.8%, Slovan Bratislava 1.6%, Žilina 0.6%.

Leading scorers: Aleksa Maraš (FK Košice) 6 goals, M. Faško (Žilina) 6 goals, Ammar Ramadan (Dunajska Streda) 4 goals.