Lyngby vs Sonderjyske Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Lyngby 1-1 Sonderjyske.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Lyngby, 24% draw, 21% Sonderjyske — fair odds of 1.82, 4.17 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lyngby at 55% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 634 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lyngby vs Sonderjyske
Line-ups
- 31D. KochenG
- 2O. BuurD
- 30M. FischerD
- 24M. GaranangaD
- 25R. TytensD
- 19G. FrauloM
- 14L. SandgravM
- 18J. ThomasenM
- 5Oliver HøjerM
- 10Í. ÞorvaldssonF
- 7S. ColynF
- 16Z. SertdemirM
- 1J. ÆgidiusG
- 22S. NgaboM
- 26F. GytkjærF
- 6D. KristjánssonD
- 8M. HeboM
- 12David Helgi AronssonD
- 35M. AndersonF
- 4C. AllenD
- 24N. ShintonG
- 3A. MunksgaardD
- 12M. SoulasD
- 19P. KristensenD
- 23E. DuruD
- 6R. VinderslevM
- 22A. OggesenM
- 13D. WilkinsM
- 8M. HaidaraM
- 17A. HoegM
- 11O. De RosarioF
- 33J. ChristensenM
- 7S. EminiM
- 1N. FløG
- 14T. HaltvikM
- 9M. HoppeF
- 15L. QamiliF
- 31I. SeydiF
- 26B. TambedouF
- 30G. WagnerD
Form going into Lyngby vs Sonderjyske
Lyngby
- W2-0away to Viborg4 September 2026
- D1-1Odense30 August 2026
- L1-2away to AC Horsens23 August 2026
- D1-1FC Midtjylland16 August 2026
Sonderjyske
- L2-5AC Horsens6 September 2026
- L1-3away to FC Copenhagen31 August 2026
- L0-3FC Nordsjaelland23 August 2026
- L2-3away to Brondby17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lyngby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lyngby vs Sonderjyske
- 13 September 2026Lyngby 1–1 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 18 May 2025Sonderjyske 5–1 LyngbySuperliga
- 17 April 2025Lyngby 0–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 1 December 2024Lyngby 0–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 26 July 2024Sonderjyske 1–1 LyngbySuperliga
- 17 May 2021Sonderjyske 2–0 LyngbySuperliga
Leading scorers: Lyngby and Sonderjyske
Lyngby
- Í. Þorvaldsson3 goals2 assists
- S. Colyn3 goals1 assists
Sonderjyske
- M. Haidara3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.