9 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Macva vs IMT Novi Beograd Super Liga prediction & result

Full time1 – 0

Final score: Macva 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd.

Before kick-off the model made it 16% Macva, 32% draw, 52% IMT Novi Beograd — fair odds of 6.25, 3.13 and 1.92. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts IMT Novi Beograd at 52% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Macva96%Draw4%IMT Novi Beograd0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Kristijan Tojčić
3'
⚽M. Vidakov
23'
Slobodan Sladojević
43'
63'
🔁T. Cojicout: L. Lukovic
63'
🔁N. Glisicout: V. Radocaj
🔁K. Tojcicout: D. Terzic
67'
🔁D. Djordjicout: V. Rakic
81'
Nikola Lainović
83'
84'
🔁S. Sapicout: A. Mitic
🔁S. Abdullahiout: M. Ergelas
88'

Match stats — Macva vs IMT Novi Beograd

40%Possession60%
10Shots18
2On target6
2Corners5

Line-ups

Macva 4-2-3-1
  • 12K. RakonicG
  • 4V. IlicD
  • 19I. RistivojevicD
  • 15S. SladojevicD
  • 17N. LainovicD
  • 22K. Tojcic
  • 8B. VrastanovicM
  • 7S. Abdullahi
  • 30D. DjordjicM
  • 27L. PejovicM
  • 9M. VidakovF
Substitutes
  • 89V. JovanovicG
  • 88M. SavicG
  • 33U. BlagojevicD
  • 10M. ErgelasF
  • 99N. DelibasicF
  • 23M. ZupanjacD
  • 5D. TerzicM
  • 11V. RakicM
  • 21D. KaranovicM
Coach: Nemanja Glusica
IMT Novi Beograd 4-4-2
  • 1O. CancarevicG
  • 45I. Casas
  • 5M. SissakoD
  • 65S. SapicD
  • 3I. MartosD
  • 10D. Zagar
  • 18J. TiendrebeogoM
  • 22V. Novicic
  • 7N. GlisicM
  • 19T. CojicF
  • 99C. KeitaF
Substitutes
  • 12K. GicicG
  • 8L. LukovicF
  • 6V. Jovanovic
  • 11JuninhoF
  • 28A. MilanovicD
  • 20D. Radivojevic
  • 2J. DelmasD
  • 27V. RadocajM
  • 9A. MiticF
Coach: Zoran Popovic

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Macva9225515-108
4IMT Novi Beograd9423116+514

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Macva vs IMT Novi Beograd

  • 9 August 2026Macva 1–0 IMT Novi BeogradSuper Liga
  • 3 December 2025Macva 1–1 IMT Novi BeogradCup
  • 30 October 2024Macva 0–1 IMT Novi BeogradCup
  • 22 March 2023IMT Novi Beograd 1–3 MacvaPrva Liga
  • 24 September 2022Macva 0–0 IMT Novi BeogradPrva Liga
  • 4 April 2022IMT Novi Beograd 6–1 MacvaPrva Liga

Leading scorers: Macva and IMT Novi Beograd

Macva

  • M. Vidakov3 goals

IMT Novi Beograd

  • T. Cojic2 goals2 assists
  • C. Keita2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.